Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine

What our AI model sees

Season averages

2.0

–

0.9

Season average total: 2.88 goals

The market

Public / market price

1X2 probabilities

10%

45%

45%

Getafe winDrawRayo Vallecano win

Market call

Double chance : Draw or Rayo Vallecano

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Getafe

1664

Rayo Vallecano

1707

Rayo Vallecano are the stronger side — 43 rating points clear of Getafe.

Goals vs xG

In attackIn defence

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Getafe

Goals scored

0.50

Expected (xG)

0.68

Scoring in line with their xG

Per game · last 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

Goals scored

1.60

Expected (xG)

1.42

Scoring in line with their xG

Per game · last 10 matches

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

OverallHome gamesAway games

Both teams across every game this season.

GetafeRayo Vallecano

0.50Goals scored / game1.57

1.25Goals conceded / game2.29

How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Getafe 8 games, Rayo Vallecano 7 games.

GetafeRayo Vallecano

25%Games with a clean sheet0%

50%Games they failed to score0%

Their recent form.

Getafe

Mixed bag at home

Last 5

1W · 2D · 2L

BarcelonavGetafe

3–0

L

GetafevMalaga

1–0

W

Real BetisvGetafe

1–0

L

GetafevDeportivo La Coruna

1–1

D

GetafevCelta Vigo

1–1

D

Rayo Vallecano

Inconsistent on the road

Last 5

2W · 1D · 2L

OsasunavRayo Vallecano

1–1

D

Rayo VallecanovEspanyol

2–1

W

Real MadridvRayo Vallecano

4–1

L

Rayo VallecanovRacing Santander

3–2

W

BarcelonavRayo Vallecano

5–2

L

Where they sit in the table.

La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#

Team

P

W

D

L

GD

Pts

1

Barcelona

8

8

0

0

+27

24

2

Atletico Madrid

8

6

1

1

+10

19

3

Real Betis

8

6

1

1

+5

19

4

Real Madrid

8

6

0

2

+11

18

5

Sevilla

8

4

2

2

+1

14

6

Real Sociedad

8

4

1

3

-3

13

7

Alaves

8

3

2

3

+4

11

8

Deportivo La Coruna

9

2

5

2

+1

11

9

Celta Vigo

8

1

5

2

+2

8

10

Athletic Club

6

2

2

2

+1

8

11

Villarreal

8

2

2

4

+0

8

12

Espanyol

8

2

2

4

+0

8

13

Rayo Vallecano

7

2

2

3

-5

8

14

Getafe

8

2

2

4

-6

8

15

Racing Santander

8

2

2

4

-10

8

16

Osasuna

8

2

2

4

-10

8

17

Levante

8

1

4

3

-4

7

18

Elche

8

1

3

4

-6

6

19

Valencia

8

1

2

5

-9

5

20

Malaga

8

0

4

4

-9

4