With just ten games played, Getafe seek traction at home while Sevilla look to steady their momentum following a heavy away defeat.
Getafe sit 17th on nine points after ten matches, having experienced a slow start to the campaign. They have won just one of their last five league games, most recently drawing 1-1 at home against Rayo Vallecano following a 3-0 defeat away to Barcelona.
Sevilla have made a good start to sit sixth on 17 points through ten fixtures, but their recent momentum has wavered. They head to Madrid after a 4-1 loss away to Real Madrid, which followed an entertaining 3-3 draw at Levante and a 3-1 home defeat to Barcelona.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Getafe are the stronger side — 38 rating points clear of Sevilla.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Getafe 10 games, Sevilla 10 games.
La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.