Winlytics.AI
Full time
Liga Profesional (Argentina)
·
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M.
11th · 19 pts·LWLLD
vs
—
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
2nd · 30 pts·WWDWW
The story

Boca's Title Charge Faces Stern Mendoza Test

Second-placed Boca Juniors travel to Mendoza looking to reclaim the league lead, while Gimnasia seek to bridge the nine-point gap to the European qualification spots.

Match news & current form

Gimnasia Mendoza are the league's form side, coming off a statement 3-0 win against Independiente. Ariel Broggi’s men have secured four victories in their last five outings, a run that includes high-scoring wins over Gimnasia L.P. and Talleres Cordoba. Currently 11th on 19 points, they have 30 games remaining to mount a serious push for the continental places.

Boca Juniors, managed by Claudio Úbeda, remain firmly in the title race, sitting just one point behind the leaders. However, their momentum has slowed with three draws in their last five matches, most recently failing to break the deadlock in 1-1 stalemates against Racing Club, Platense, and Velez Sarsfield. They did manage a narrow 1-0 win over Lanus in their last fixture to keep the pressure on at the top.

Head-to-head history

Historical data for this specific matchup remains limited in the top flight, but the sides met earlier in the Apertura phase at the Bombonera. Gimnasia Mendoza are looking to prove they can compete with the established 'Big Five' after already taking points off several high-profile opponents this season.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Gimnasia Mendoza have won four of their last five league matches.
  • Boca Juniors are unbeaten in their last five, but have drawn 60% of those fixtures.
  • The hosts have scored two or more goals in four of their last five games.
  • Boca Juniors have failed to score more than one goal in any of their last five matches.
Key players & missing men

Both managers, Ariel Broggi and Claudio Úbeda, appear to have fully fit squads to choose from with no fresh injuries or suspensions reported. Boca will rely on their defensive solidity to frustrate the hosts, while Gimnasia's attacking unit arrives with high confidence following their three-goal haul against Independiente.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Gimnasia M.1.2
–
1.2Boca Juniors
Season average total: 2.38 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Gimnasia M. winDrawBoca Juniors win
Market call
Double chance : Gimnasia M. or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
1.00Goals scored / game1.48
1.23Goals conceded / game0.84
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Gimnasia M. 31 games, Boca Juniors 31 games.

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
29%Games with a clean sheet45%
35%Games they failed to score10%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Gimnasia M.
2–2
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
1–1
Gimnasia M.
Form check

Their recent form.

Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M.
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
LanusvGimnasia M.
1–1
D
Gimnasia M.vPlatense
1–2
L
Velez SarsfieldvGimnasia M.
1–0
L
Gimnasia M.vNewells Old Boys
1–0
W
Estudiantes L.P.vGimnasia M.
3–0
L
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
IndependientevBoca Juniors
0–1
W
Boca JuniorsvTalleres Cordoba
2–1
W
Instituto CordobavBoca Juniors
2–2
D
Boca JuniorsvUnion Santa Fe
3–0
W
San LorenzovBoca Juniors
0–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga Profesional (Argentina) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
16
9
4
3
+12
31
2
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
16
8
6
2
+13
30
3
Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
16
7
7
2
+6
28
4
Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba
16
7
5
4
+4
26
5
IndependienteIndependiente
16
6
6
4
+4
24
6
LanusLanus
16
6
6
4
+3
24
7
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
16
5
7
4
+0
22
8
Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
16
5
6
5
+4
21
9
Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba
16
6
3
7
+0
21
10
Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
16
4
7
5
-3
19
11
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
16
5
4
7
-8
19
12
PlatensePlatense
16
3
7
6
-5
16
13
Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
16
4
4
8
-10
16
14
Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys
16
3
6
7
-12
15
15
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
16
1
8
7
-7
11