Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 1d 19h
Liga Profesional (Argentina)
·
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M.
11th · 19 pts·LWLLD
vs
—
Independ. Rivadavia
Independ. Rivadavia
1st · 34 pts·DLDLW
The story

Gimnasia host title-chasing Rivadavia in Mendoza derby

The Mendoza derby arrives on the final matchday with Gimnasia chasing a late route into the playoff places and Independiente Rivadavia seeking to protect top spot in the title race.

Match news & current form

Gimnasia Mendoza sit 11th on 19 points, two points and three places off the playoff places heading into the decisive final fixture. Following a 1-1 draw away at Lanus, the hosts know only a positive outcome keeps their postseason hopes alive in front of their home supporters.

Independiente Rivadavia lead the division on 34 points and remain in control of the title race. However, recent form on the road has shown vulnerability, including a heavy 5-0 defeat at Rosario Central, despite bouncing back with a 2-2 draw at home to Tigre last time out.

Head-to-head history

Recent derby meetings heavily favour the home side. While Independiente Rivadavia claimed a commanding 5-1 victory in the reverse fixture in April 2026, Gimnasia have won the last three clashes held on their own ground without conceding, prevailing 1-0 in 2022, 2-0 earlier that same year, and 1-0 in 2018.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Gimnasia Mendoza have won each of their last three home fixtures against Independiente Rivadavia without conceding a single goal.
  • Independiente Rivadavia have lost three of their last five away matches across all competitions.
  • Independiente Rivadavia were beaten 5-0 at Rosario Central in their penultimate away fixture in the league.
Key players & missing men

Forward Agustin Modica offers an attacking threat for Gimnasia having scored twice across his last five outings, while Diego Mondino anchors the hosts' defence. Independiente Rivadavia lean heavily on forward Alex Arce to lead their title charge. Neither club has any fresh injury or suspension absences reported.

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We have published a signal on Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Gimnasia M.1.2
–
0.9Independ. Rivadavia
Season average total: 2.10 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Gimnasia M. winDrawIndepend. Rivadavia win
Market call
Double chance : Gimnasia M. or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
1.00Goals scored / game1.56
1.23Goals conceded / game1.25
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Gimnasia M. 31 games, Independ. Rivadavia 32 games.

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
29%Games with a clean sheet22%
35%Games they failed to score22%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Independ. Rivadavia
5–1
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M.
1–0
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
2–0
Independ. Rivadavia
Independ. Rivadavia
2–0
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M.
1–0
Independ. Rivadavia
Form check

Their recent form.

Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M.
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
LanusvGimnasia M.
1–1
D
Gimnasia M.vPlatense
1–2
L
Velez SarsfieldvGimnasia M.
1–0
L
Gimnasia M.vNewells Old Boys
1–0
W
Estudiantes L.P.vGimnasia M.
3–0
L
Independ. Rivadavia
Independ. Rivadavia
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Independ. RivadaviavBanfield
3–1
W
Argentinos JRSvIndepend. Rivadavia
1–0
L
Independ. RivadaviavTigre
2–2
D
Rosario CentralvIndepend. Rivadavia
5–0
L
Independ. RivadaviavGimnasia L.P.
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga Profesional (Argentina) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
16
10
4
2
+14
34
2
River PlateRiver Plate
16
9
2
5
+10
29
3
Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS
16
8
5
3
+4
29
4
Rosario CentralRosario Central
16
8
4
4
+4
28
5
Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba
16
7
5
4
+4
26
6
Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
16
8
2
6
+0
26
7
HuracanHuracan
16
5
7
4
+4
22
8
Racing ClubRacing Club
16
5
6
5
+2
21
9
Barracas CentralBarracas Central
16
5
6
5
+0
21
10
TigreTigre
16
4
8
4
+3
20
11
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
16
6
1
9
-7
19
12
BanfieldBanfield
16
5
3
8
-2
18
13
Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman
16
3
5
8
-5
14
14
AldosiviAldosivi
16
0
8
8
-13
8
15
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
16
1
2
13
-19
5