Winlytics.AI
Full time
Eredivisie (Netherlands)
·
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
9th · 10 pts·WLDDD
vs
Groningen
Groningen
8th · 11 pts·LLDDW
The story

Eagles defend Conference League spot against stumbling Groningen

Go Ahead Eagles look to consolidate their hold on the final Conference League place as they host a Groningen side desperate to halt a three-match winless slide.

Match news & current form

Go Ahead Eagles currently occupy 7th place, the final Conference League spot, after five games. They enter this fixture following a high-scoring 3-3 draw away to Utrecht, a result that showcased their attacking threat but also their defensive vulnerabilities. With 8 points from 15 available, they have shown strong home form recently, including a 4-1 win over Willem II and a 3-1 victory against ADO Den Haag.

Groningen sit 10th on 7 pts, just one point behind their hosts with 29 games remaining. After a perfect start with two wins, Dick Lukkien’s side has struggled, taking only one point from their last three outings. Their momentum was halted by a heavy 5-1 loss to PSV Eindhoven and a 3-2 defeat to Fortuna Sittard, though they did manage to arrest the losing streak with a -2-2 draw against Twente last time out.

Head-to-head history

Go Ahead Eagles have dominated this fixture in recent years, remaining unbeaten in the last five meetings. While three of those encounters ended in draws, including a 0-0 stalemate in April 2026 and a 1-1 draw in December 2025, the Eagles secured a 2-1 home victory in early 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Go Ahead Eagles are unbeaten in five consecutive matches against Groningen.
  • Groningen have conceded 10 goals across their last three Eredivisie fixtures.
  • The last two meetings between these sides at De Adelaarshorst have seen both teams score.
  • Go Ahead Eagles have scored 14 goals in their last five matches, averaging nearly three per game.
Key players & missing men

The hosts remain without Gerrit Nauber, who is still recovering from a long-term broken leg, while P. Saathof and G. van Zwam are also unavailable. Groningen travel with a significant absentee list including M. Jeng, T. Mercera, R. Metu, M. Rente, and W. Prins, further stretching a defence that has been leaking goals recently.

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We have published a signal on GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
GO Ahead Eagles2.5
1.5Groningen
Season average total: 4.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
GO Ahead Eagles winDrawGroningen win
Market call
Winner : GO Ahead Eagles
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

GO Ahead Eagles
1441
Groningen
1439

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead EaglesGroningenGroningen
2.29Goals scored / game2.14
2.00Goals conceded / game1.86
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — GO Ahead Eagles 7 games, Groningen 7 games.

GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead EaglesGroningenGroningen
0%Games with a clean sheet14%
0%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

GO Ahead Eagles
1–1
Groningen
Groningen
0–0
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
1–1
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
2–1
Groningen
Groningen
0–1
GO Ahead Eagles
Form check

Their recent form.

GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
NEC NijmegenvGO Ahead Eagles
1–1
D
GO Ahead EaglesvGroningen
1–1
D
UtrechtvGO Ahead Eagles
3–3
D
AZ AlkmaarvGO Ahead Eagles
5–2
L
GO Ahead EaglesvADO Den Haag
3–1
W
Groningen
Groningen
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
GroningenvPEC Zwolle
3–0
W
GO Ahead EaglesvGroningen
1–1
D
GroningenvTwente
2–2
D
GroningenvFortuna Sittard
2–3
L
PSV EindhovenvGroningen
5–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eredivisie (Netherlands) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
7
6
1
0
+12
19
2
FeyenoordFeyenoord
7
5
2
0
+18
17
3
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
7
5
1
1
+14
16
4
TwenteTwente
7
5
1
1
+8
16
5
AjaxAjax
7
4
2
1
+12
14
6
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
7
4
1
2
-1
13
7
ExcelsiorExcelsior
7
3
2
2
+6
11
8
GroningenGroningen
7
3
2
2
+2
11
9
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
7
2
4
1
+2
10
10
HeerenveenHeerenveen
7
2
3
2
+2
9
11
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
7
2
2
3
-1
8
12
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
7
1
2
4
-7
5
13
TelstarTelstar
7
1
2
4
-7
5
14
CambuurCambuur
7
1
2
4
-9
5
15
UtrechtUtrecht
7
1
2
4
-13
5
16
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
7
1
1
5
-14
4
17
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
7
0
2
5
-10
2
18
Willem IIWillem II
7
0
2
5
-14
2