Gremio fight for survival as Fluminense chase Libertadores
A desperate Gremio side battles to pull clear of the relegation zone against a high-flying Fluminense looking to consolidate their top-four standing.
Gremio enter this clash in 16th place, sitting just two points above the relegation zone with 19 games remaining. Momentum has stalled for the Porto Alegre side following consecutive Serie A defeats, most recently a 2-1 loss away to Mirassol and a 3-1 home reverse against Corinthians. Survival is the immediate priority, and they will rely heavily on their home form to navigate this precarious run.
Fluminense occupy 4th place with 32 points, firmly in the hunt for a continental qualification spot. While they have proven difficult to beat, winning only one of their last five matches, their recent form is defined by stalemates. After a 2-1 win over Sao Paulo, they have recorded back-to-back 1-1 draws against Cruzeiro and RB Bragantino, suggesting a lack of clinical edge to kill games off.
Our model vs the market’s price.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
1.6
Goals scored and conceded.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
GremioFluminenseWhole season, home and away combined — Gremio 28 games, Fluminense 28 games.
GremioFluminensePast meetings.
Their recent form.
Where they sit in the table.
Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.
