Gremio host title-chasing Palmeiras in crucial Serie A clash
Gremio fight to pull clear of the bottom four while Palmeiras aim to overhaul a one-point deficit at the top of the table.
Gremio enter this fixture in 16th place with 28 points, currently sitting seven points and five places away from the Copa Sudamericana qualification spots. Manager Castro is under pressure to restore belief after a run of four defeats in their last five matches, including a narrow 3-2 loss to Botafogo last time out. While they have struggled for consistency, they have managed to find the net in recent losses, suggesting they remain a threat at home.
Palmeiras are firmly in the title race, sitting in 2nd place on 56 points, just one point behind the leaders. They arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in their last nine matches across all competitions. Their last league outing was a 2-0 victory over Sao Paulo, following a string of resilient performances that have kept them within striking distance of the summit with 11 games remaining.
Our model vs the market’s price.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
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Goals scored and conceded.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
GremioPalmeirasWhole season, home and away combined — Gremio 28 games, Palmeiras 28 games.
GremioPalmeirasPast meetings.
Their recent form.
Where they sit in the table.
Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.
