Relegation battle intensifies at Arena do Gremio
Survival is the priority for both Gremio and Sao Paulo as they meet in a high-stakes clash separated by just four points in the bottom half of the table.
Gremio enter this fixture sitting 17th, just one point above the relegation zone. Despite a 1-1 draw against Fluminense last time out, they have struggled for consistency with only one win in their last five outings. However, the hosts maintain a solid long-term home record, winning over half of their matches at the Arena do Gremio across all competitions.
Sao Paulo sit 12th on 26 points, but their five-point cushion over the drop zone is far from secure. Dorival Junior’s men are in a slump, failing to win any of their last five matches, including a 1-1 draw with Flamengo and a narrow 1-0 loss to Remo. Their away form is particularly concerning, having lost five of their last six league games on the road.
Our model vs the market’s price.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
1.6
Goals scored and conceded.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
GremioSao PauloWhole season, home and away combined — Gremio 33 games, Sao Paulo 33 games.
GremioSao PauloPast meetings.
Their recent form.
Where they sit in the table.
Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.
