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Full time
Serie A (Brazil)
·
Gremio
Gremio
17th · 29 pts·WLLLD
vs
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
16th · 31 pts·LWLWW
The story

Gremio eye Sudamericana push as Vasco battle relegation

With 13 games remaining, Gremio are chasing a Copa Sudamericana place while Vasco DA Gama fight to climb out of the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Gremio sit 15th on 28 points, currently four points and four places adrift of the Copa Sudamericana qualification spots. Their form has been erratic with two wins and three losses in their last five, most recently falling 0-1 away to Vitoria. However, home victories against Sao Paulo (2-1) and Chapecoense-sc (3-1) suggest they remain a formidable prospect at their own ground.

Vasco DA Gama enter the weekend 17th on 25 points, trapped inside the relegation zone. While they secured a vital 3-1 win over Cruzeiro recently, a 0-1 loss to Fluminense and a heavy 0-3 defeat to Santos have hindered their escape. Manager Pedro Emanuel has found a reliable outlet in Andrés Gómez, who has provided two goals and nine shots in his last four starts.

Head-to-head history

The recent history between these two giants is finely balanced, with both sides claiming two wins apiece alongside one draw in their last five meetings. Vasco DA Gama won the most recent encounter 2-1 in March 2026, but Gremio were 2-0 victors the last time they hosted this fixture in November 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Gremio goalkeeper Weverton is in high-alert form, averaging over four saves per game with 23 stops across his last five outings.
  • Discipline could be a factor as Gremio have averaged over three yellow cards per game recently, totalling 17 bookings in their last five matches.
  • Vasco DA Gama have struggled for goals on their travels, evidenced by recent away blanks against Fluminense and Bahia.
  • Gremio are looking to avoid consecutive league defeats for the second time this season following their 0-1 loss at Vitoria.
Key players & missing men

Gremio will be without F. Amuzu, J. Cabral, Dodi, and C. Pavon, forcing a reshuffle in their attacking options. Vasco DA Gama face a significant absentee list of their own, with Brenner, Cuiabano, Jair, Mateus Carvalho, and Adson all unavailable for this crucial trip.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Gremio1.7
1.1Vasco DA Gama
Season average total: 2.74 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Gremio winDrawVasco DA Gama win
Market call
Double chance : Gremio or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

GremioGremioVasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
1.07Goals scored / game1.26
1.36Goals conceded / game1.52
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Gremio 28 games, Vasco DA Gama 27 games.

GremioGremioVasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
21%Games with a clean sheet11%
36%Games they failed to score30%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Gremio
1–2
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
2–1
Gremio
Gremio
2–0
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
1–1
Gremio
Gremio
1–0
Vasco DA Gama
Form check

Their recent form.

Gremio
Gremio
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
GremiovPalmeiras
0–0
D
BotafogovGremio
3–2
L
GremiovVasco DA Gama
1–2
L
VitoriavGremio
1–0
L
GremiovChapecoense-sc
3–1
W
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
Vasco DA GamavCoritiba
5–0
W
GremiovVasco DA Gama
1–2
W
FluminensevVasco DA Gama
1–0
L
Vasco DA GamavCruzeiro
3–1
W
PalmeirasvVasco DA Gama
4–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
27
17
6
4
+31
57
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
28
16
9
3
+26
57
3
FluminenseFluminense
28
13
9
6
+8
48
4
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
27
13
7
7
+10
46
5
BahiaBahia
27
12
10
5
+9
46
6
CruzeiroCruzeiro
28
13
6
9
+2
45
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
27
11
7
9
+4
40
8
SantosSantos
27
10
8
9
+1
38
9
CoritibaCoritiba
28
10
8
10
-6
38
10
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
26
10
6
10
+3
36
11
Sao PauloSao Paulo
27
10
6
11
+2
36
12
BotafogoBotafogo
28
9
8
11
-4
35
13
VitoriaVitoria
28
9
6
13
-14
33
14
CorinthiansCorinthians
28
8
8
12
-3
32
15
MirassolMirassol
28
8
8
12
-9
32
16
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
27
8
7
12
-7
31
17
GremioGremio
28
7
8
13
-8
29
18
InternacionalInternacional
28
6
10
12
-6
28
19
RemoRemo
28
5
8
15
-15
23
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
27
3
9
15
-24
18