Winlytics.AI
Full time
Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
13th · 27 pts·LLWLL
vs
—
Tromso
Tromso
6th · 40 pts·LWDDL
The story

Tromso defend top spot against surging Ham-Kam

League leaders Tromso travel to Briskeby Arena looking to protect their title-race advantage against a Ham-Kam side chasing a historic continental qualification spot.

Match news & current form

Ham-Kam sit 6th with 18 points and are currently in a continental position with 19 games remaining. Thomas Myhre has guided his side to a five-game unbeaten streak, including a recent 2-0 win over Lillestrom and a hard-fought 2-2 draw at Sandefjord last time out. Myhre is now targeting the club's first top-half finish since their 2022 return to the top flight.

Tromso lead the Eliteserien with 28 points, though Jorgen Vik’s side have played several games more than their title rivals and cannot afford to drop points. While they recently thrashed Valerenga 4-0 and beat Molde 2-0, their away form remains a concern following a 5-0 hammering at the hands of Bodo/Glimt and a recent goalless draw at KFUM Oslo.

Head-to-head history

Tromso have historically enjoyed their trips to Briskeby Arena, winning six of their last eight away clashes against Ham-Kam. However, Ham-Kam enter this meeting in their strongest league position in years, looking to improve on a record that has seen them fail to beat Tromso in their last four attempts.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Ham-Kam are unbeaten in their last five Eliteserien matches.
  • Tromso have kept only one clean sheet in their last four league outings.
  • Ham-Kam have conceded at least two goals in three of their last six matches despite their unbeaten run.
  • Tromso have scored at least twice in four of their last eight matches.
Key players & missing men

Ham-Kam have a nearly clean bill of health, though N. Alexandersson is listed as an absence. Tromso face more significant selection issues; they are missing Viktor Ekblom and Casper Øyvann through injury, while Alexander Warneryd is unavailable due to suspension.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Ham-Kam vs Tromso — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Ham-Kam vs Tromso and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Ham-Kam1.8
–
1.8Tromso
Season average total: 3.59 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Ham-Kam winDrawTromso win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Tromso
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Ham-Kam
1396
Tromso
1497

Tromso are the stronger side — 101 rating points clear of Ham-Kam.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Ham-KamHam-KamTromsoTromso
1.40Goals scored / game1.72
2.12Goals conceded / game1.52
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Ham-Kam 25 games, Tromso 25 games.

Ham-KamHam-KamTromsoTromso
16%Games with a clean sheet36%
24%Games they failed to score28%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Tromso
3–2
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
1–4
Tromso
Tromso
1–0
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
1–3
Tromso
Tromso
2–0
Ham-Kam
Form check

Their recent form.

Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
Losing form badly
Last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
Ham-KamvRosenborg
0–3
L
Ham-KamvBodo/Glimt
0–2
L
StartvHam-Kam
2–4
W
TromsovHam-Kam
3–2
L
Ham-KamvMolde
1–5
L
Tromso
Tromso
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
VikingvTromso
3–1
L
TromsovKFUM Oslo
1–1
D
FredrikstadvTromso
1–1
D
TromsovHam-Kam
3–2
W
RosenborgvTromso
5–3
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
25
19
2
4
+38
59
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
25
19
2
4
+38
59
3
MoldeMolde
25
13
4
8
+20
43
4
RosenborgRosenborg
25
13
4
8
+18
43
5
LillestromLillestrom
25
13
3
9
+3
42
6
TromsoTromso
25
11
7
7
+5
40
7
BrannBrann
25
10
2
13
+3
32
8
ValerengaValerenga
25
9
5
11
-3
32
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
25
8
7
10
-7
31
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
25
8
7
10
-9
31
11
FredrikstadFredrikstad
25
8
5
12
-15
29
12
SandefjordSandefjord
25
7
6
12
-8
27
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
25
7
6
12
-18
27
14
AalesundAalesund
25
5
9
11
-14
24
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
25
6
5
14
-22
23
16
StartStart
25
5
4
16
-29
19