Winlytics.AI
Full time
Eredivisie (Netherlands)
·
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
7th · 18 pts·WLWWW
vs
—
Twente
Twente
4th · 23 pts·WDLWW
The story

Veldman and Heerenveen Seek To Break Twente Hex

Heerenveen and Twente kick off their 2026-27 Eredivisie campaigns at the Abe Lenstra Stadion with both sides aiming to secure early European positioning.

Match news & current form

Robin Veldman’s Heerenveen enter the new season following an eighth-place finish and a productive pre-season that included high-scoring victories over Club Brugge (3-2) and De Graafschap (7-2). The hosts are looking to build on a strong home foundation, having secured 30 of their 51 points in front of their own fans last term.

Twente arrive under John van den Brom after a fourth-place finish last season, narrowly missing out on Champions League qualification on the final day. While they come into this opener following a dominant 6-0 win over Dunajska Streda in continental duty, they must overcome the 'horrid memories' of their recent league defeat to PSV Eindhoven which ended a long unbeaten away run.

Head-to-head history

Twente have historically dominated this fixture, leading the all-time Eredivisie head-to-head with 29 victories to Heerenveen's 17. The Tukkers are currently on a nine-game unbeaten streak against the hosts, with Heerenveen’s last victory in this meeting dating back to September 2022.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Heerenveen are unbeaten in home season openers since 2014, recording three wins and two draws in that span.
  • Twente have avoided defeat in 85% of their last 40 Eredivisie matches on the road.
  • Only against Sparta Rotterdam and Groningen do Twente hold a longer active unbeaten run than their current streak against Heerenveen.
  • Heerenveen have avoided defeat in 32 of their last 40 matches at the Abe Lenstra Stadion across all competitions.
Key players & missing men

New signing Dirk Proper is expected to make his debut in the Heerenveen midfield, while Espen van Ee is pushing for a start. The hosts will be without Levi Smans and Pawel Bochniewicz, both sidelined with long-term knee injuries. Twente are missing Mees Hilgers, Sondre Ørjasæter, and striker Sam Lammers, though they welcome back Thomas van den Belt and Naci Ünüvar to the starting XI.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Heerenveen1.1
–
1.9Twente
Season average total: 3.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
0%
50%
50%
Heerenveen winDrawTwente win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Twente
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Heerenveen
1468
Twente
1568

Twente are the stronger side — 99 rating points clear of Heerenveen.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

HeerenveenHeerenveenTwenteTwente
1.73Goals scored / game2.55
1.18Goals conceded / game0.91
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Heerenveen 11 games, Twente 11 games.

HeerenveenHeerenveenTwenteTwente
45%Games with a clean sheet36%
27%Games they failed to score9%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Heerenveen
1–0
Twente
Twente
5–0
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
1–2
Twente
Heerenveen
3–3
Twente
Twente
2–0
Heerenveen
Form check

Their recent form.

Heerenveen
Heerenveen
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
HeerenveenvNEC Nijmegen
1–0
W
ADO Den HaagvHeerenveen
2–3
W
HeerenveenvExcelsior
4–0
W
PSV EindhovenvHeerenveen
2–0
L
Sparta RotterdamvHeerenveen
0–4
W
Twente
Twente
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
ExcelsiorvTwente
0–9
W
AZ AlkmaarvTwente
0–2
W
TwentevUtrecht
1–2
L
Fortuna SittardvTwente
1–1
D
TwentevPSV Eindhoven
3–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eredivisie (Netherlands) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FeyenoordFeyenoord
11
7
4
0
+21
25
2
AjaxAjax
11
7
3
1
+17
24
3
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
11
7
2
2
+22
23
4
TwenteTwente
11
7
2
2
+18
23
5
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
11
6
2
3
+7
20
6
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
11
5
4
2
+0
19
7
HeerenveenHeerenveen
11
5
3
3
+6
18
8
GroningenGroningen
11
4
3
4
+2
15
9
CambuurCambuur
11
4
3
4
+1
15
10
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
11
3
5
3
-4
14
11
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
11
3
3
5
-6
12
12
UtrechtUtrecht
11
3
3
5
-12
12
13
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
11
2
5
4
-2
11
14
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
11
3
2
6
-11
11
15
ExcelsiorExcelsior
11
3
2
6
-12
11
16
TelstarTelstar
11
2
3
6
-7
9
17
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
11
1
3
7
-11
6
18
Willem IIWillem II
11
0
2
9
-29
2