Winlytics.AI
Full time
Canadian Premier League (Canada)
·
HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC
5th · 26 pts·WLLWW
vs
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
3rd · 34 pts·LWDLL
The story

Continental spots at stake in high-pressure Halifax clash

Third meets fourth as both sides battle to consolidate their positions in the Canadian Premier League’s continental qualification spots.

Match news & current form

HFX Wanderers FC enter this fixture sitting fourth on 12 points, occupying a vital continental place with just three games remaining. They return to home soil looking to replicate the clinical form that saw them dismantle Pacific FC 5-2 recently, though they must shake off a narrow 1-0 away defeat to Forge in their last outing. Manager Vanni Sartini is searching for more open-play efficiency, as the side has struggled to find the net outside of set-piece situations.

Atlético Ottawa occupy third place with 14 points and a game in hand over their hosts. While they recently secured a historic Canadian Championship win over Toronto FC, their league form has been inconsistent, including a 2-1 loss to Vancouver FC and a 4-1 humbling by Inter Toronto. The visitors are currently dealing with a 'championship hangover' and will be without head coach Diego Mejía, who serves a touchline suspension for yellow card accumulation.

Head-to-head history

The historical record between these two is extensive, spanning 23 meetings. While Ottawa won the most recent encounter 1-0 at TD Place, the Wanderers have proven difficult to beat in Halifax, notably securing a 2-0 victory in their final meeting of the 2025 season. Matches between these two historically lean toward goals, averaging 2.83 per game.

Hot stats & streaks
  • HFX Wanderers have scored only one of their seven league goals from open play this season, the lowest such tally in the division.
  • Atlético Ottawa are averaging just 2.8 shots on target per 90 minutes despite their high league standing.
  • Halifax have maintained a strong home record, averaging 2 points per game at the Wanderers Grounds this campaign.
  • The visitors have conceded 10 goals in recent league action, with only Pacific FC holding a poorer defensive record.
Key players & missing men

Isaiah Johnston is the man in form for the Wanderers, leading the league with five goal contributions (three goals, two assists) and already matching his career-high for a single season. For Ottawa, Ballou Tabla remains the primary threat following a recent hat-trick against Toronto FC. Beyond the suspension of Ottawa manager Diego Mejía, neither side has reported new player absences, though the visitors are monitoring fatigue following their heavy cup schedule.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
HFX Wanderers FC2.0
1.4Atlético Ottawa
Season average total: 3.37 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
HFX Wanderers FC winDrawAtlético Ottawa win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Atlético Ottawa
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FCAtlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
1.52Goals scored / game1.48
1.65Goals conceded / game1.70
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — HFX Wanderers FC 23 games, Atlético Ottawa 23 games.

HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FCAtlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
22%Games with a clean sheet17%
17%Games they failed to score22%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Atlético Ottawa
2–1
HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1–3
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
1–0
HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0–1
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
2–0
HFX Wanderers FC
Form check

Their recent form.

HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
HFX Wanderers FCvYork United
4–1
W
Supra du QuebecvHFX Wanderers FC
0–2
W
HFX Wanderers FCvCavalry FC
1–3
L
Pacific FCvHFX Wanderers FC
4–3
L
HFX Wanderers FCvVancouver FC
1–0
W
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Atlético OttawavSupra du Quebec
0–2
L
ForgevAtlético Ottawa
3–0
L
Atlético OttawavPacific FC
0–0
D
Atlético OttawavYork United
2–1
W
Cavalry FCvAtlético Ottawa
3–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Canadian Premier League (Canada) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Cavalry FCCavalry FC
22
15
5
2
+29
50
2
ForgeForge
22
14
4
4
+18
46
3
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
23
10
4
9
-5
34
4
Vancouver FCVancouver FC
23
9
4
10
+2
31
5
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
23
7
5
11
-3
26
6
Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
22
7
4
11
-7
25
7
York UnitedYork United
21
5
8
8
-16
23
8
Pacific FCPacific FC
22
1
8
13
-18
11