Winlytics.AI
Full time
Canadian Premier League (Canada)
·
HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC
5th · 26 pts·WLLWW
vs
Forge
Forge
2nd · 46 pts·WLDWD
The story

Forge chase title glory as Wanderers face managerless test

League leaders Forge FC look to tighten their grip on the title race against a Halifax Wanderers side fighting to protect their continental qualification spot.

Match news & current form

Forge FC arrive at the Wanderers Grounds in formidable form, sitting top of the table with 34 points and carrying a six-game winning streak. Bobby Smyrniotis’s side have been relentless on the road recently, securing back-to-back 3-1 and 2-1 victories away from home. With only one match remaining after this fixture, Forge are in full control of the title race and looking to maintain momentum ahead of their upcoming Canadian Championship clash.

HFX Wanderers FC sit 5th on 16 points, currently holding a continental qualification place. However, they must navigate this high-stakes fixture without head coach Vanni Sartini, who is suspended from the touchline following a red card in their last match. That game saw the Wanderers surrender a 2-0 half-time lead against Supra du Québec, conceding a 12-minute hat-trick to lose 3-2 at home.

Head-to-head history

This fixture marks the return of former Wanderers standout Dan Nimick to Halifax for the first time since his off-season move to Forge. While Halifax have struggled for results in this series historically, this match serves as the first of a double-header between the two clubs, who meet again in the Canadian Championship just days later. Notably, Forge previously spoiled Halifax's Natal Day celebrations with a 1-0 win at this venue in 2022.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Forge FC are currently enjoying a six-game winning streak in league play.
  • Halifax have seen 10 goals scored across their last two home matches at the Wanderers Grounds.
  • Forge have suffered only one defeat in their first nine matches of the 2026 campaign.
  • HFX Wanderers are seeking their first ever road win in this series, though they hold home advantage for this encounter.
Key players & missing men

The Wanderers will be without head coach Vanni Sartini on the sidelines. On the pitch, Nassim Mekidèche and Julian Dunn are still working toward full fitness, though the squad has no other major absences. Forge will be missing Elimane Cissé, who remains sidelined with an injury, but they welcome back Dan Nimick to his former stomping ground as a key part of their defensive unit.

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Our model prices every market we cover on HFX Wanderers FC vs Forge and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
HFX Wanderers FC1.3
1.6Forge
Season average total: 2.92 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
HFX Wanderers FC winDrawForge win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Forge
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FCForgeForge
1.52Goals scored / game1.55
1.65Goals conceded / game0.73
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — HFX Wanderers FC 23 games, Forge 22 games.

HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FCForgeForge
22%Games with a clean sheet45%
17%Games they failed to score18%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

No prior meetings on record.

Form check

Their recent form.

HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
HFX Wanderers FCvYork United
4–1
W
Supra du QuebecvHFX Wanderers FC
0–2
W
HFX Wanderers FCvCavalry FC
1–3
L
Pacific FCvHFX Wanderers FC
4–3
L
HFX Wanderers FCvVancouver FC
1–0
W
Forge
Forge
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Cavalry FCvForge
1–1
D
ForgevAtlético Ottawa
3–0
W
ForgevYork United
1–1
D
Supra du QuebecvForge
1–0
L
ForgevPacific FC
2–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Canadian Premier League (Canada) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Cavalry FCCavalry FC
22
15
5
2
+29
50
2
ForgeForge
22
14
4
4
+18
46
3
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
23
10
4
9
-5
34
4
Vancouver FCVancouver FC
23
9
4
10
+2
31
5
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
23
7
5
11
-3
26
6
Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
22
7
4
11
-7
25
7
York UnitedYork United
21
5
8
8
-16
23
8
Pacific FCPacific FC
22
1
8
13
-18
11