With both sides level on 16 points in the early stages of the 1. HNL campaign, the Eternal Derby offers an immediate opportunity to seize outright leadership.
Hajduk Split sit second with 16 points after eight games, having made a strong start to the campaign despite a 3-0 defeat away at HNK Rijeka last time out. Prior to that setback, the hosts had strung together four consecutive victories, including comfortable shutouts against NK Osijek, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, Rudes, and NK Slaven Belupo.
Dinamo Zagreb occupy top spot, also on 16 points but with a game in hand after seven matches. They bounced back from a 4-2 loss at NK Osijek with a hard-fought 3-2 home win over NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, but have shown defensive vulnerabilities on the road having drawn 2-2 at Istra 1961 and lost heavily in Osijek in recent away trips.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Dinamo Zagreb are the stronger side — 150 rating points clear of HNK Hajduk Split.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — HNK Hajduk Split 8 games, Dinamo Zagreb 7 games.
1. HNL (Croatia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.