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1. HNL (Croatia)
·
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
2nd · 16 pts·WWWWL
vs
Istra 1961
Istra 1961
6th · 9 pts·LDDWL
The story

Hajduk Split hunt European places against high-flying Istra

Istra 1961 travel to Split looking to defend their continental qualification spot against a Hajduk side desperate to leapfrog them into the European places.

Match news & current form

HNK Hajduk Split enter this fixture sitting 7th in the table, currently trailing the European qualification spots with 17 games left to play. They are looking to bounce back immediately after a narrow 1-2 away defeat at the hands of NK Varazdin in their last outing.

Istra 1961 currently occupy 6th place, holding onto a continental qualification position. Despite their strong standing, they are seeking redemption after a chaotic 2-3 home loss to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb last week, which ended a resilient unbeaten run.

Head-to-head history

Historically, Hajduk Split have dominated this fixture with 34 wins to Istra's 13 across 62 recorded meetings. However, recent encounters have been more competitive, with Istra demonstrating a significantly improved record against the Split giants over the last four HNL meetings.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Istra 1961 have avoided defeat in their last five matches, winning two and drawing three.
  • Hajduk Split have secured four wins in their last five home fixtures at Stadion Poljud.
  • Istra 1961 have covered the Asian Handicap in 100% of their last five matches.
  • The visitors have averaged 2.4 goals per match over their last five outings.
Key players & missing men

Both managers appear to have full squads at their disposal with no fresh injuries or suspensions reported for either side. This allows Hajduk to field their strongest attacking unit as they attempt to break down an Istra side that has shown high scoring proficiency in recent weeks.

No signal
The model didn’t surface a signal for this match. Browse the data below to form your own view.
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
HNK Hajduk Split2.0
0.9Istra 1961
Season average total: 2.88 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
HNK Hajduk Split winDrawIstra 1961 win
Market call
Double chance : HNK Hajduk Split or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

HNK Hajduk Split
1427
Istra 1961
1291

HNK Hajduk Split are the stronger side — 136 rating points clear of Istra 1961.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk SplitIstra 1961Istra 1961
2.00Goals scored / game1.75
1.00Goals conceded / game1.63
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — HNK Hajduk Split 8 games, Istra 1961 8 games.

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk SplitIstra 1961Istra 1961
50%Games with a clean sheet25%
13%Games they failed to score25%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

HNK Hajduk Split
2–2
Istra 1961
Istra 1961
1–3
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
1–2
Istra 1961
Istra 1961
0–3
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
2–1
Istra 1961
Form check

Their recent form.

HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
HNK RijekavHNK Hajduk Split
3–0
L
HNK Hajduk SplitvNK Slaven Belupo
1–0
W
RudesvHNK Hajduk Split
0–4
W
HNK Hajduk SplitvNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
W
HNK Hajduk SplitvNK Osijek
4–0
W
Istra 1961
Istra 1961
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Istra 1961vHNK Gorica
0–1
L
Istra 1961vRudes
3–2
W
NK VarazdinvIstra 1961
0–0
D
Istra 1961vDinamo Zagreb
2–2
D
HNK RijekavIstra 1961
3–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

1. HNL (Croatia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
7
5
1
1
+8
16
2
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
8
5
1
2
+8
16
3
NK OsijekNK Osijek
8
5
1
2
+6
16
4
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
8
4
3
1
+6
15
5
HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
7
4
2
1
+6
14
6
Istra 1961Istra 1961
8
2
3
3
+1
9
7
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
8
2
1
5
-5
7
8
NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
8
2
1
5
-9
7
9
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
8
1
2
5
-7
5
10
RudesRudes
8
1
1
6
-14
4