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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
2nd · 44 pts·DDWLD
vs
Austin
Austin
11th · 30 pts·WDDWD
The story

Texas Derby stakes high as Austin chase playoff line

Houston Dynamo look to cement their playoff standing against an Austin side desperate to bridge a six-point gap to the post-season places.

Match news & current form

Houston Dynamo enter this derby 7th in the table on 23 points, currently holding a playoff spot with a game in hand over their rivals. Ben Olsen’s side will be frustrated after their last outing against DC United, where a Hector Herrera strike was cancelled out by a late equaliser from a throw-in, resulting in a 1-1 draw despite the Dynamo registering 20 shots.

Austin arrive with renewed hope following an emphatic 3-1 victory over the Seattle Sounders, a result that snapped a poor run of form including a 5-0 thrashing by San Diego. Sitting 14th and six points adrift of the playoff line, the visitors need a result to build momentum before the upcoming Leagues Cup break.

Head-to-head history

This is the second meeting between the Texas rivals this season, with Austin claiming a 2-0 victory in their previous encounter back in April. The fixture carries extra spice through Austin's coaching staff, as Davy Arnaud returns to face the Houston side he previously managed.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Austin have struggled significantly on their travels, conceding 32 goals across 16 league matches this term.
  • Houston forward Myrto Uzuni has reached six goals for the season, matching his total from the previous campaign.
  • Facundo Torres is the creative engine for the hosts, currently leading the side with six assists.
  • The Dynamo have shown strong recent form against elite opposition, including a notable 4-1 away win over Los Angeles FC.
Key players & missing men

Houston will be without Antonio Carlos for a third consecutive match, meaning Lucas Halter is expected to continue in central defence alongside Agustin Resch. The visitors are missing J. Bell and M. Desler, further stretching a backline that has been vulnerable all season. All eyes will be on Houston’s Guilherme, who is tipped to be a primary goal threat in this derby clash.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Houston Dynamo vs Austin and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Houston Dynamo1.8
1.0Austin
Season average total: 2.75 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Houston Dynamo winDrawAustin win
Market call
Double chance : Houston Dynamo or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Houston DynamoHouston DynamoAustinAustin
1.31Goals scored / game1.23
1.15Goals conceded / game1.69
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Houston Dynamo 26 games, Austin 26 games.

Houston DynamoHouston DynamoAustinAustin
42%Games with a clean sheet19%
27%Games they failed to score23%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Houston Dynamo
3–0
Austin
Austin
2–0
Houston Dynamo
Austin
2–2
Houston Dynamo
Austin
3–1
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
2–0
Austin
Form check

Their recent form.

Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
Houston DynamovFC Cincinnati
2–2
D
San Jose EarthquakesvHouston Dynamo
1–0
L
Houston DynamovReal Salt Lake
2–1
W
CharlottevHouston Dynamo
0–0
D
Houston DynamovSan Jose Earthquakes
0–0
D
Austin
Austin
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
FC DallasvAustin
0–0
D
Vancouver WhitecapsvAustin
1–2
W
AustinvColorado Rapids
1–1
D
AustinvSan Jose Earthquakes
1–1
D
Portland TimbersvAustin
1–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
25
15
4
6
+33
49
2
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
26
13
5
8
+4
44
3
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
26
12
8
6
+9
44
4
FC DallasFC Dallas
26
12
8
6
+7
44
5
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
26
12
6
8
+8
42
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
27
11
8
8
+14
41
7
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
26
11
3
12
+1
36
8
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
27
8
9
10
-8
33
9
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
26
9
5
12
-1
32
10
San DiegoSan Diego
25
8
6
11
+0
30
11
AustinAustin
26
7
9
10
-12
30
12
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
25
8
5
12
-5
29
13
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
24
7
8
9
-5
29
14
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
26
7
8
11
-7
29
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
25
5
3
17
-34
18