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Kicks off in 2d 18h
Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
5th · 47 pts·DLDDD
vs
—
Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
13th · 34 pts·LLDDW
The story

Houston Dynamo Host Minnesota United in MLS Playoff Race

With four games left in the Major League Soccer regular season, Houston Dynamo look to secure their spot in the playoff places while Minnesota United must close a five-point gap to keep their campaign alive.

Match news & current form

Houston Dynamo sit fifth in the table on 47 points, holding an eight-point cushion inside the playoff places with four games remaining. While they remain in a commanding position, recent form has stuttered with just one win from their last five matches, most recently suffering a 2-0 home defeat against Sporting Kansas City following a 2-2 draw with FC Cincinnati.

Minnesota United enter this clash in 13th place on 34 points, sitting five points and four places adrift of the playoff spots. Without a victory in their last five league outings, the Loons arrive off consecutive 2-2 draws against Colorado Rapids and Houston itself, meaning nothing less than maximum points will do in their late push for a postseason berth.

Head-to-head history

These sides met only two weeks ago on 11 October, sharing the points in an entertaining 2-2 draw in Minnesota. Across the last five recorded meetings, honors have been fairly even, featuring two Houston wins, one Minnesota victory, and two draws, with Houston claiming a 2-0 home triumph when the sides met at Shell Energy Stadium in May 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Minnesota United are winless in their last five matches (D2 L3), conceding 14 goals across that stretch.
  • The reverse fixture finished 2-2 on 11 October 2026, marking consecutive 2-2 draws for Minnesota.
  • Houston Dynamo attacker Guilherme has set a new single-season club record with 22 goal contributions (14 goals, eight assists).
Key players & missing men

Guilherme remains the focal point for Houston's attack, having already surpassed the club's single-season goal contribution record and leading the line in front of goalkeeper Jonathan Bond. The hosts will be without Felipe Andrade, A. Resch, and J. Maurer. Minnesota, who are expected to field Drake Callender in goal, travel without A. Smir and P. Stroud.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Houston Dynamo1.8
–
1.4Minnesota United FC
Season average total: 3.20 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Houston Dynamo winDrawMinnesota United FC win
Market call
Double chance : Houston Dynamo or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Houston DynamoHouston DynamoMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
1.37Goals scored / game1.57
1.30Goals conceded / game1.83
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Houston Dynamo 30 games, Minnesota United FC 30 games.

Houston DynamoHouston DynamoMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
37%Games with a clean sheet17%
27%Games they failed to score17%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Minnesota United FC
2–2
Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
2–0
Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
1–1
Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
1–2
Houston Dynamo
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Houston Dynamo
Felipe Andrade
Out · Injury
Houston Dynamo
A. Resch
Out · Yellow Cards
Houston Dynamo
J. Maurer
Doubt · Concussion
Minnesota United FC
A. Smir
Out · Knee Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
0W · 4D · 1L
Houston DynamovFC Dallas
2–2
D
San DiegovHouston Dynamo
3–3
D
Minnesota United FCvHouston Dynamo
2–2
D
Houston DynamovSporting Kansas City
0–2
L
Houston DynamovFC Cincinnati
2–2
D
Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Minnesota United FCvSt. Louis City
3–2
W
Colorado RapidsvMinnesota United FC
2–2
D
Minnesota United FCvHouston Dynamo
2–2
D
Seattle SoundersvMinnesota United FC
3–1
L
Minnesota United FCvLos Angeles Galaxy
2–3
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
30
16
7
7
+32
55
2
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
30
14
9
7
+15
51
3
FC DallasFC Dallas
30
14
9
7
+8
51
4
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
30
13
9
8
+10
48
5
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
30
13
8
9
+2
47
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
31
12
10
9
+15
46
7
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
30
11
9
10
+2
42
8
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
31
10
10
11
-9
40
9
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
30
11
6
13
+0
39
10
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
30
10
6
14
-3
36
11
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
30
9
7
14
-5
34
12
San DiegoSan Diego
30
8
10
12
-3
34
13
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
30
8
10
12
-8
34
14
AustinAustin
30
7
10
13
-18
31
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
30
6
4
20
-39
22