Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 15h
Premier League (England)
·
Ipswich
Ipswich
14th · 11 pts·LWLDD
vs
—
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
8th · 12 pts·LLWWW
The story

Ipswich host Bournemouth separated by just one point

Separated by a single point after nine games, Ipswich Town and Bournemouth clash at Portman Road looking to turn steady starts into top-half momentum.

Match news & current form

Ipswich sit 14th on 11 points after nine matches, having recently held Nottingham Forest to a 1-1 draw following an entertaining 3-2 defeat at Manchester City. The Tractor Boys have been competitive across their opening fixtures, winning two of their last five, but need to tighten up defensively to climb away from the lower mid-table pack.

Bournemouth arrive in Suffolk placed 8th on 12 points from their opening nine encounters. The Cherries boast strong momentum after pulling off an emphatic 3-0 victory away at Manchester United and securing a 2-0 win over Sunderland, recovering in style from previous defeats against Chelsea and Liverpool.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these clubs have been remarkably balanced and consistently featured goals for both teams. Ipswich took a 2-1 victory in their last encounter in April 2025, returning the favour after Bournemouth won 2-1 at Portman Road in December 2024, with the three prior meetings all ending in draws.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Both teams have scored in all five recorded meetings between these two sides.
  • Bournemouth enter the clash on the back of consecutive clean-sheet victories against Sunderland and Manchester United.
  • Ipswich have both scored and conceded in three of their last four league fixtures.
  • The last two fixtures between Ipswich and Bournemouth were both decided by 2-1 scorelines.
Key players & missing men

Marcus Tavernier is Bournemouth's leading marksman with five goals, while striker Francisco Evanilson provides a potent spearhead with four goals and four assists. Ipswich lean on the attacking threat of Julio Enciso, Leif Davis, and Chuba Akpom. Neither side has reported any fresh injury absences ahead of the fixture, leaving Christian Walton and Dorde Petrovic to guard their respective nets.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Ipswich vs Bournemouth and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Ipswich1.8
–
1.5Bournemouth
Season average total: 3.25 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Ipswich winDrawBournemouth win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Bournemouth
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Ipswich
1640
Bournemouth
1872

Bournemouth are the stronger side — 232 rating points clear of Ipswich.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

IpswichIpswich
Goals scored
1.56
Expected (xG)
1.36
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 9 matches
BournemouthBournemouth
Goals scored
1.50
Expected (xG)
1.95
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

IpswichIpswichBournemouthBournemouth
1.56Goals scored / game1.56
2.00Goals conceded / game1.44
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Ipswich 9 games, Bournemouth 9 games.

IpswichIpswichBournemouthBournemouth
0%Games with a clean sheet33%
22%Games they failed to score11%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Bournemouth
1–2
Ipswich
Ipswich
1–2
Bournemouth
Ipswich
1–1
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
2–2
Ipswich
Ipswich
2–2
Bournemouth
Form check

Their recent form.

Ipswich
Ipswich
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Hull CityvIpswich
2–2
D
IpswichvNottingham Forest
1–1
D
Manchester CityvIpswich
3–2
L
IpswichvFulham
2–1
W
EvertonvIpswich
1–0
L
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
BournemouthvLeeds
2–0
W
Manchester UnitedvBournemouth
0–3
W
BournemouthvSunderland
2–0
W
ChelseavBournemouth
5–1
L
BournemouthvLiverpool
0–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
ArsenalArsenal
9
8
0
1
+9
24
2
Manchester CityManchester City
9
7
0
2
+10
21
3
BrightonBrighton
9
6
1
2
+17
19
4
ChelseaChelsea
9
5
1
3
+4
16
5
LiverpoolLiverpool
9
4
3
2
+2
15
6
BrentfordBrentford
9
3
5
1
+7
14
7
EvertonEverton
9
3
4
2
+0
13
8
BournemouthBournemouth
9
3
3
3
+1
12
9
TottenhamTottenham
9
3
3
3
+0
12
10
Aston VillaAston Villa
9
3
3
3
-3
12
11
Hull CityHull City
9
2
5
2
+1
11
12
LeedsLeeds
9
2
5
2
+1
11
13
NewcastleNewcastle
9
3
2
4
-3
11
14
IpswichIpswich
9
3
2
4
-4
11
15
FulhamFulham
9
2
3
4
-2
9
16
CoventryCoventry
9
3
0
6
-7
9
17
Manchester UnitedManchester United
9
1
4
4
-5
7
18
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
9
2
1
6
-12
7
19
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
9
1
3
5
-6
6
20
SunderlandSunderland
9
1
2
6
-10
5