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Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
10th · 12 pts·WLWLL
vs
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
2nd · 19 pts·DDWDW
The story

Jagiellonia host Legia Warszawa as Marek Papszun seeks top spot

Third-place Legia Warszawa travel to Białystok looking to maintain their unbeaten streak against a Jagiellonia side aiming to climb from ninth after a solid start to the campaign.

Match news & current form

Jagiellonia sit 9th with 12 points after seven matches, having experienced a turbulent run of two wins and three losses in their last five. They enter this clash following a 2-0 defeat away to Wisla Krakow, but will lean on the memory of their recent 5-2 thrashing of Raków Częstochowa as proof of their attacking potential.

Legia Warszawa occupy 3rd place with 16 points from eight games and remain unbeaten in their last five outings. Manager Marek Papszun has instilled defensive discipline, with the side conceding only seven goals so far, though they come into this after a 1-1 draw against Widzew Łódź. Papszun has noted that while Jagiellonia are a tough opponent fresh from European competition, his side is capable of winning anywhere in the Ekstraklasa.

Head-to-head history

Recent encounters between these two have been tightly contested, with three of the last five meetings ending in draws, including a 2-2 result in their most recent clash in March 2026. Jagiellonia have been particularly stubborn, losing only once to Legia in their last five head-to-head matches dating back to late 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Legia Warszawa are currently on a five-match unbeaten run in the Ekstraklasa.
  • Three of the last five meetings between these clubs have ended in a draw.
  • Legia have scored 16 goals in their opening eight matches, the highest among the top three sides.
  • Jagiellonia have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five league games.
Key players & missing men

Marek Papszun leads a Legia squad that has been highly productive in front of goal, though no fresh injuries have been reported for either side. Jagiellonia will rely on their home intensity, which Papszun highlighted as a major factor, especially as both clubs balance domestic duties with European commitments.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Jagiellonia1.0
1.6Legia Warszawa
Season average total: 2.65 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Jagiellonia winDrawLegia Warszawa win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Legia Warszawa
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Jagiellonia
1467
Legia Warszawa
1441

Jagiellonia are the stronger side — 26 rating points clear of Legia Warszawa.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

JagielloniaJagielloniaLegia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
1.50Goals scored / game2.11
1.63Goals conceded / game0.89
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Jagiellonia 8 games, Legia Warszawa 9 games.

JagielloniaJagielloniaLegia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
13%Games with a clean sheet22%
25%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Jagiellonia
1–3
Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia
2–2
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
0–0
Jagiellonia
Legia Warszawa
0–1
Jagiellonia
Legia Warszawa
3–1
Jagiellonia
Form check

Their recent form.

Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
JagielloniavLegia Warszawa
1–3
L
Wisla KrakowvJagiellonia
2–0
L
JagielloniavSlask Wroclaw
2–1
W
Lech PoznanvJagiellonia
2–1
L
Raków CzęstochowavJagiellonia
2–5
W
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
JagielloniavLegia Warszawa
1–3
W
Legia WarszawavWidzew Łódź
1–1
D
Motor LublinvLegia Warszawa
2–3
W
Legia WarszawavSlask Wroclaw
1–1
D
Piast GliwicevLegia Warszawa
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
9
7
1
1
+8
22
2
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
9
5
4
0
+11
19
3
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
8
6
1
1
+10
19
4
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
9
5
2
2
+5
17
5
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
8
4
3
1
+6
15
6
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
9
4
3
2
+2
15
7
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
9
4
3
2
+1
15
8
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
9
4
1
4
+1
13
9
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
8
4
0
4
+3
12
10
JagielloniaJagiellonia
8
4
0
4
-1
12
11
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
8
3
2
3
-3
11
12
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
9
1
6
2
+0
9
13
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
9
2
2
5
-5
8
14
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
9
2
2
5
-13
8
15
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
9
1
3
5
-4
6
16
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
9
1
3
5
-6
6
17
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
8
1
2
5
-6
5
18
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
9
1
0
8
-9
3