Third-place Legia Warszawa travel to Białystok looking to maintain their unbeaten streak against a Jagiellonia side aiming to climb from ninth after a solid start to the campaign.
Jagiellonia sit 9th with 12 points after seven matches, having experienced a turbulent run of two wins and three losses in their last five. They enter this clash following a 2-0 defeat away to Wisla Krakow, but will lean on the memory of their recent 5-2 thrashing of Raków Częstochowa as proof of their attacking potential.
Legia Warszawa occupy 3rd place with 16 points from eight games and remain unbeaten in their last five outings. Manager Marek Papszun has instilled defensive discipline, with the side conceding only seven goals so far, though they come into this after a 1-1 draw against Widzew Łódź. Papszun has noted that while Jagiellonia are a tough opponent fresh from European competition, his side is capable of winning anywhere in the Ekstraklasa.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Jagiellonia are the stronger side — 26 rating points clear of Legia Warszawa.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Jagiellonia 8 games, Legia Warszawa 9 games.
Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.