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Allsvenskan (Sweden)
·
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
13th · 23 pts·LWLLD
vs
—
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
7th · 40 pts·WLDWL
The story

Kalmar eye home upset as Malmo hunt continental spot

Malmo FF travel to Kalmar seeking a fourth consecutive victory to cement their continental standing, while the hosts fight to pull further clear of the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Kalmar FF enter this fixture 12th in the table, sitting just three points above the drop zone. Toni Koskela's side have been inconsistent, following up a dominant 3-0 win over Orgryte IS with a 2-0 defeat at Hammarby last time out. However, their home form remains their greatest asset as they look to secure survival with 18 games remaining.

Malmo FF occupy 6th place and are in pursuit of European qualification. Helstrup’s side are in a rich vein of form, winning three on the bounce including a 4-0 thrashing of IFK Goteborg last weekend. Despite their domestic pedigree, recent away results have been mixed, featuring a heavy 4-1 loss at Hammarby earlier this month.

Head-to-head history

Malmo have historically dominated this fixture, winning eight of the last 11 meetings. However, the most recent encounter in Kalmar ended in a 2-2 draw. Kalmar have struggled for goals in this rivalry, scoring under 1.5 goals in 12 of their last 13 matches against the Sky Blues.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Malmo FF are bidding for their fourth consecutive Allsvenskan victory.
  • Kalmar have won with a +1.5 handicap in each of their last six home league games.
  • Malmo have recorded over 4.5 corners in their last five matches against Kalmar.
  • The last meeting between these two sides at Kalmar ended in a 2-2 stalemate.
Key players & missing men

Malmo face a selection crisis in defense and midfield; Andrej Djuric is suspended, while Busanello, Anders Christiansen, Pontus Jansson, and Yanis Karabelyov are all sidelined. They have bolstered their ranks with new signing Warren Kamanzi from Ligue 1, though they must adapt to the departure of Taha Ali to PAOK. Kalmar are in much better shape, with Malcolm Stolt the only expected absentee.

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We have published a signal on Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Kalmar FF1.0
–
1.4Malmo FF
Season average total: 2.46 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Kalmar FF winDrawMalmo FF win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Malmo FF
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Kalmar FF
1246
Malmo FF
1445

Malmo FF are the stronger side — 198 rating points clear of Kalmar FF.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Kalmar FFKalmar FFMalmo FFMalmo FF
0.85Goals scored / game1.56
1.56Goals conceded / game1.33
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Kalmar FF 27 games, Malmo FF 27 games.

Kalmar FFKalmar FFMalmo FFMalmo FF
15%Games with a clean sheet37%
56%Games they failed to score19%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Malmo FF
1–0
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
2–2
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
1–1
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
2–2
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
5–0
Kalmar FF
Form check

Their recent form.

Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Mjallby AIFvKalmar FF
0–0
D
Kalmar FFvGais
0–1
L
Kalmar FFvIF Brommapojkarna
0–3
L
Degerfors IFvKalmar FF
1–2
W
Malmo FFvKalmar FF
1–0
L
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Malmo FFvHammarby FF
1–2
L
HalmstadvMalmo FF
0–3
W
IF ElfsborgvMalmo FF
0–0
D
Malmo FFvBK Hacken
0–1
L
Malmo FFvKalmar FF
1–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Allsvenskan (Sweden) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
SiriusSirius
27
18
4
5
+24
58
2
Hammarby FFHammarby FF
27
17
4
6
+34
55
3
Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF
27
16
4
7
+30
52
4
BK HackenBK Hacken
27
13
10
4
+18
49
5
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
27
12
10
5
+14
46
6
Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
27
13
5
9
+2
44
7
Malmo FFMalmo FF
27
12
4
11
+6
40
8
AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm
27
10
8
9
-4
38
9
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
27
10
8
9
-10
38
10
GaisGais
27
10
7
10
+7
37
11
IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna
27
9
7
11
-5
34
12
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
27
6
9
12
-13
27
13
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
27
6
5
16
-19
23
14
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
27
5
5
17
-24
20
15
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
27
4
7
16
-27
19
16
HalmstadHalmstad
27
4
5
18
-33
17