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Allsvenskan (Sweden)
·
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
13th · 19 pts·DLLLL
vs
—
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
7th · 33 pts·LWDWL
The story

Kalmar eye home upset as Malmo hunt continental spot

Malmo FF travel to Kalmar seeking a fourth consecutive victory to cement their continental standing, while the hosts fight to pull further clear of the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Kalmar FF enter this fixture 12th in the table, sitting just three points above the drop zone. Toni Koskela's side have been inconsistent, following up a dominant 3-0 win over Orgryte IS with a 2-0 defeat at Hammarby last time out. However, their home form remains their greatest asset as they look to secure survival with 18 games remaining.

Malmo FF occupy 6th place and are in pursuit of European qualification. Helstrup’s side are in a rich vein of form, winning three on the bounce including a 4-0 thrashing of IFK Goteborg last weekend. Despite their domestic pedigree, recent away results have been mixed, featuring a heavy 4-1 loss at Hammarby earlier this month.

Head-to-head history

Malmo have historically dominated this fixture, winning eight of the last 11 meetings. However, the most recent encounter in Kalmar ended in a 2-2 draw. Kalmar have struggled for goals in this rivalry, scoring under 1.5 goals in 12 of their last 13 matches against the Sky Blues.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Malmo FF are bidding for their fourth consecutive Allsvenskan victory.
  • Kalmar have won with a +1.5 handicap in each of their last six home league games.
  • Malmo have recorded over 4.5 corners in their last five matches against Kalmar.
  • The last meeting between these two sides at Kalmar ended in a 2-2 stalemate.
Key players & missing men

Malmo face a selection crisis in defense and midfield; Andrej Djuric is suspended, while Busanello, Anders Christiansen, Pontus Jansson, and Yanis Karabelyov are all sidelined. They have bolstered their ranks with new signing Warren Kamanzi from Ligue 1, though they must adapt to the departure of Taha Ali to PAOK. Kalmar are in much better shape, with Malcolm Stolt the only expected absentee.

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We have published a signal on Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Kalmar FF1.2
–
1.4Malmo FF
Season average total: 2.59 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Kalmar FF winDrawMalmo FF win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Malmo FF
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Kalmar FF
1246
Malmo FF
1445

Malmo FF are the stronger side — 198 rating points clear of Kalmar FF.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Kalmar FFKalmar FFMalmo FFMalmo FF
0.95Goals scored / game1.68
1.64Goals conceded / game1.50
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Kalmar FF 22 games, Malmo FF 22 games.

Kalmar FFKalmar FFMalmo FFMalmo FF
14%Games with a clean sheet32%
50%Games they failed to score14%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Kalmar FF
2–2
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
1–1
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
2–2
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
5–0
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
1–0
Malmo FF
Form check

Their recent form.

Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
Kalmar FFvBK Hacken
0–5
L
IF ElfsborgvKalmar FF
1–0
L
Kalmar FFvDjurgardens IF
0–1
L
HalmstadvKalmar FF
1–0
L
Vasteras SK FKvKalmar FF
0–0
D
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Vasteras SK FKvMalmo FF
2–0
L
Malmo FFvOrgryte IS
4–1
W
Malmo FFvAIK Stockholm
0–0
D
SiriusvMalmo FF
0–1
W
Malmo FFvDjurgardens IF
0–3
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Allsvenskan (Sweden) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
SiriusSirius
22
16
3
3
+24
51
2
Hammarby FFHammarby FF
22
13
4
5
+29
43
3
Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF
22
13
2
7
+26
41
4
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
22
10
7
5
+9
37
5
BK HackenBK Hacken
22
9
9
4
+9
36
6
Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
22
10
5
7
-1
35
7
Malmo FFMalmo FF
22
10
3
9
+4
33
8
AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm
22
9
6
7
-3
33
9
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
22
9
5
8
-10
32
10
GaisGais
22
8
6
8
+8
30
11
IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna
22
7
6
9
-6
27
12
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
22
5
7
10
-11
22
13
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
22
5
4
13
-15
19
14
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
22
5
4
13
-15
19
15
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
22
3
6
13
-24
15
16
HalmstadHalmstad
22
3
5
14
-24
14