Winlytics.AI
Full time
Premier League (Ukraine)
·
Karpaty
Karpaty
3rd · 14 pts·WDLWD
vs
LNZ Cherkasy
LNZ Cherkasy
7th · 8 pts·WLDWL
The story

Karpaty eye top spot as LNZ seek European foothold

Karpaty Lviv look to maintain their perfect start to the title race against an LNZ Cherkasy side already trailing the European qualification spots.

Match news & current form

Karpaty sit 2nd in the table on 3 points and remain firmly in the title race, trailing the leaders only on goal difference with 29 games remaining. They arrive full of confidence after a ruthless 4-1 dismantling of Kryvbas KR in their last outing.

LNZ Cherkasy occupy 8th place with 1 point, currently sitting two points adrift of the European places. They are looking to find their scoring touch after a frustrating 0-0 draw against Bukovyna in their previous match.

Head-to-head history

Recent history favors the hosts; Karpaty secured a narrow 1-0 victory over LNZ Cherkasy in their most recent encounter in February 2025. While LNZ Cherkasy managed a 2-1 win in August 2024, Karpaty have shown greater consistency in this matchup over the last two seasons.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Karpaty have won their last three consecutive matches across all competitions.
  • LNZ Cherkasy have failed to score in their last two league away trips.
  • The 1-0 scoreline has been the most frequent result in recent meetings between these two sides.
  • Karpaty are looking to start a top-flight campaign with two straight wins for the first time in recent history.
Key players & missing men

Ambrosiy Chachua remains a vital creative hub for Karpaty, having previously found the net in this fixture. Both squads report clean bills of health with no players currently listed as absent, allowing both managers to field their strongest available XIs.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Karpaty1.8
0.4LNZ Cherkasy
Season average total: 2.13 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Karpaty winDrawLNZ Cherkasy win
Market call
Winner : Karpaty
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Karpaty
1242
LNZ Cherkasy
1242

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

KarpatyKarpatyLNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy
2.14Goals scored / game0.71
0.71Goals conceded / game1.14
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Karpaty 7 games, LNZ Cherkasy 7 games.

KarpatyKarpatyLNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy
43%Games with a clean sheet43%
0%Games they failed to score71%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Karpaty
3–0
LNZ Cherkasy
Karpaty
0–0
LNZ Cherkasy
LNZ Cherkasy
0–1
Karpaty
Karpaty
1–0
LNZ Cherkasy
LNZ Cherkasy
2–1
Karpaty
Form check

Their recent form.

Karpaty
Karpaty
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
KarpatyvVeres Rivne
1–1
D
Kolos KovalivkavKarpaty
0–2
W
KarpatyvShakhtar Donetsk
1–2
L
Livyi BerehvKarpaty
1–1
D
KarpatyvBukovyna
3–0
W
LNZ Cherkasy
LNZ Cherkasy
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Shakhtar DonetskvLNZ Cherkasy
3–0
L
LNZ CherkasyvObolon'-Brovar
3–1
W
Dynamo KyivvLNZ Cherkasy
0–0
D
LNZ CherkasyvVeres Rivne
0–1
L
LNZ CherkasyvChornomorets
2–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Ukraine) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PolessyaPolessya
7
6
0
1
+10
18
2
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
7
6
0
1
+11
18
3
KarpatyKarpaty
7
4
2
1
+10
14
4
Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
6
4
1
1
+4
13
5
FC KharkivFC Kharkiv
6
4
0
2
+8
12
6
Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
7
2
2
3
-1
8
7
LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy
7
2
2
3
-3
8
8
Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk
7
2
2
3
-4
8
9
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
6
1
4
1
+1
7
10
BukovynaBukovyna
7
1
4
2
-2
7
11
Veres RivneVeres Rivne
6
1
3
2
-1
6
12
ChornomoretsChornomorets
6
1
2
3
-4
5
13
Kolos KovalivkaKolos Kovalivka
6
1
2
3
-4
5
14
Kryvbas KRKryvbas KR
6
1
2
3
-3
5
15
Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar
7
0
4
3
-10
4
16
KudrivkaKudrivka
6
0
2
4
-12
2