Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 20h
Süper Lig (Turkey)
·
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
9th · 10 pts·DDWDL
vs
—
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
17th · 4 pts·LLLLL
The story

Unbeaten Kasımpaşa host struggling Samsunspor in Istanbul

Mid-table Kasımpaşa look to convert steady momentum into three points against a managerless Samsunspor side searching for traction after a difficult opening stretch.

Match news & current form

Kasımpaşa sit ninth on 10 points after seven matches, having made a stable start to the campaign. They are unbeaten in their last five league games (two wins, three draws), coming into this fixture after a 0-0 home stalemate against Konyaspor.

Samsunspor have endured a slow start, sitting 17th with four points from their first seven games. They have lost four consecutive matches—most recently a 1-0 defeat away at Erzurumspor FK—and travel to Istanbul without a permanent head coach, as the club works on an agreement with Nenad Bjelica following Thorsten Fink's departure while coach Emre Bayraktar oversees preparations.

Head-to-head history

The sides have already met once this calendar year, with Kasımpaşa cruising to a 3-0 victory in August 2026, reversing a 1-0 win for Samsunspor at this ground back in January 2026. Across 18 meetings in various league categories, Samsunspor lead the historical record with 12 wins to Kasımpaşa's four.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Samsunspor have lost each of their last four league matches, scoring only once across that sequence.
  • Kasımpaşa are unbeaten in their last five league fixtures (W2 D3).
  • Kasımpaşa have drawn all three of their home league matches so far this season.
  • Recent clashes have tightened considerably: after 12 goals flew in over three meetings prior to 2025, the last three encounters have produced just three goals in total.
Key players & missing men

The hosts will be without K. Corekci, A. Karapo, and M. Ouanes. Samsunspor make the journey missing J. Assoumou and C. Yuksel from their ranks.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Kasımpaşa0.8
–
0.8Samsunspor
Season average total: 1.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Kasımpaşa winDrawSamsunspor win
Market call
Double chance : Kasımpaşa or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Kasımpaşa
1383
Samsunspor
1462

Samsunspor are the stronger side — 79 rating points clear of Kasımpaşa.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

KasımpaşaKasımpaşaSamsunsporSamsunspor
1.14Goals scored / game0.86
1.14Goals conceded / game2.14
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Kasımpaşa 7 games, Samsunspor 7 games.

KasımpaşaKasımpaşaSamsunsporSamsunspor
29%Games with a clean sheet14%
14%Games they failed to score57%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Kasımpaşa
3–0
Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa
0–1
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
0–0
Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor
0–2
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
1–4
Samsunspor
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Kasımpaşa
K. Corekci
Out · Achilles Tendon Injury
Kasımpaşa
A. Karapo
Doubt · Injury
Kasımpaşa
M. Ouanes
Doubt · Muscle Injury
Samsunspor
J. Assoumou
Out · Muscle Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
GalatasarayvKasımpaşa
3–1
L
KasımpaşavKonyaspor
0–0
D
Gençlerbirliği S.K.vKasımpaşa
1–2
W
KasımpaşavAmed
2–2
D
BaşakşehirvKasımpaşa
1–1
D
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 0D · 5L
SamsunsporvTrabzonspor
0–3
L
Erzurumspor FKvSamsunspor
1–0
L
SamsunsporvÇorum FK
1–5
L
KocaelisporvSamsunspor
1–0
L
SamsunsporvFenerbahçe
0–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Süper Lig (Turkey) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
GalatasarayGalatasaray
7
5
1
1
+5
16
2
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
7
5
0
2
+8
15
3
AmedAmed
7
4
2
1
+8
14
4
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
7
4
1
2
+13
13
5
TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
7
4
1
2
+11
13
6
AlanyasporAlanyaspor
7
3
3
1
+2
12
7
KocaelisporKocaelispor
7
4
0
3
+2
12
8
Çorum FKÇorum FK
7
3
1
3
+4
10
9
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
7
2
4
1
+0
10
10
RizesporRizespor
7
3
1
3
-2
10
11
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
7
2
2
3
-1
8
12
Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK
7
2
2
3
-3
8
13
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.
7
2
2
3
-8
8
14
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK
7
2
2
3
-8
8
15
GöztepeGöztepe
7
1
3
3
+0
6
16
KonyasporKonyaspor
7
1
2
4
-4
5
17
SamsunsporSamsunspor
7
1
1
5
-9
4
18
EyüpsporEyüpspor
7
1
0
6
-18
3