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Premier League (Ukraine)
·
Kolos Kovalivka
Kolos Kovalivka
13th · 5 pts·LDDLW
vs
Karpaty
Karpaty
3rd · 14 pts·WDLWD
The story

Karpaty chase title lead as Kolos fight for survival

Third-placed Karpaty Lviv travel to Kovalivka looking to close a two-point gap on the league leaders, while Kolos enter the weekend 15th and inside the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Kolos Kovalivka are still searching for their first win of the campaign, currently sitting 15th with 26 games remaining to climb out of the relegation zone. However, there are signs of life in the squad following a spirited 2-2 draw away at Kryvbas KR last time out, halting a run of consecutive defeats against Dynamo Kyiv and Zorya Luhansk.

Karpaty are firmly in the title race, trailing the leaders by just two points with 25 games left to play. Their momentum took a slight hit recently with a 2-1 loss to Shakhtar Donetsk and a 1-1 draw with Livyi Bereh, but a previous run of three straight wins—scoring ten goals in the process—underlines their threat as the division's form side.

Head-to-head history

Kolos Kovalivka have dominated this fixture in recent times, winning four of the last six meetings and losing only once. Their most recent encounter in March 2026 saw Kolos secure a 1-0 away victory, and they have not lost a league tie to Karpaty in their previous three attempts.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Kolos Kovalivka are unbeaten in their last 3 league matches against Karpaty Lviv.
  • Karpaty have won 3 of their last 5 matches, including two 3-0 victories.
  • The average goals per game in the last six head-to-head meetings stands at a tight 2.17.
  • Kolos are currently without a home win in their last 2 league matches at the Kolos Stadium.
Key players & missing men

Captain Andriy Bohdanov remains the central figure for Kolos as they look to navigate out of the bottom two. Both squads enter the fixture with no reported absences, giving both managers full-strength rosters for this crucial clash.

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We have published a signal on Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Kolos Kovalivka0.3
1.7Karpaty
Season average total: 2.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Kolos Kovalivka winDrawKarpaty win
Market call
Winner : Karpaty
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Kolos Kovalivka
1242
Karpaty
1242

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Kolos KovalivkaKolos KovalivkaKarpatyKarpaty
1.00Goals scored / game2.14
1.67Goals conceded / game0.71
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Kolos Kovalivka 6 games, Karpaty 7 games.

Kolos KovalivkaKolos KovalivkaKarpatyKarpaty
17%Games with a clean sheet43%
50%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Kolos Kovalivka
2–3
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
0–2
Karpaty
Karpaty
0–1
Kolos Kovalivka
Kolos Kovalivka
1–1
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
2–1
Karpaty
Form check

Their recent form.

Kolos Kovalivka
Kolos Kovalivka
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
KudrivkavKolos Kovalivka
2–3
W
Kolos KovalivkavKarpaty
0–2
L
Kryvbas KRvKolos Kovalivka
2–2
D
Kolos KovalivkavObolon'-Brovar
0–0
D
Dynamo KyivvKolos Kovalivka
2–1
L
Karpaty
Karpaty
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
KarpatyvVeres Rivne
1–1
D
Kolos KovalivkavKarpaty
0–2
W
KarpatyvShakhtar Donetsk
1–2
L
Livyi BerehvKarpaty
1–1
D
KarpatyvBukovyna
3–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Ukraine) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PolessyaPolessya
7
6
0
1
+10
18
2
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
7
6
0
1
+11
18
3
KarpatyKarpaty
7
4
2
1
+10
14
4
Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
6
4
1
1
+4
13
5
FC KharkivFC Kharkiv
6
4
0
2
+8
12
6
Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
7
2
2
3
-1
8
7
LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy
7
2
2
3
-3
8
8
Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk
7
2
2
3
-4
8
9
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
6
1
4
1
+1
7
10
BukovynaBukovyna
7
1
4
2
-2
7
11
Veres RivneVeres Rivne
6
1
3
2
-1
6
12
ChornomoretsChornomorets
6
1
2
3
-4
5
13
Kolos KovalivkaKolos Kovalivka
6
1
2
3
-4
5
14
Kryvbas KRKryvbas KR
6
1
2
3
-3
5
15
Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar
7
0
4
3
-10
4
16
KudrivkaKudrivka
6
0
2
4
-12
2