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Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
10th · 18 pts·LWLLW
vs
—
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
3rd · 24 pts·WWDLD
The story

League Leaders Legia Face Resilient Korona in Kielce

Legia Warszawa travel to Kielce looking to consolidate their lead at the top of the table, while Korona fight to climb out of the early-season relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Korona Kielce enter this fixture 16th in the table with zero points after an opening 1-0 defeat away to Jagiellonia. With 33 games remaining to secure their top-flight status, the hosts are desperate to avoid a second consecutive loss that would leave them rooted in the bottom three.

Legia Warszawa arrive in peak form, sitting top of the Ekstraklasa with a perfect record of six points from two matches. Following a 1-0 victory at Pogon Szczecin and a 3-1 home win over Zaglebie Lubin, the visitors are currently in total control of the early title race.

Head-to-head history

Historical data shows a competitive edge in this fixture; Korona Kielce have managed nine victories in their last 41 meetings with the capital giants. While Legia have historically dominated the win count, recent encounters have frequently seen both teams find the net, with 70% of matches in a recent sample featuring goals at both ends.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Legia Warszawa are chasing a third consecutive victory to maintain their 100% start to the campaign.
  • Korona Kielce have struggled for offensive output recently, averaging just 0.2 goals per match over their last five outings.
  • Legia have struggled to keep clean sheets in this specific fixture, conceding in the majority of their recent trips to Kielce.
  • The hosts have shown defensive resilience at home, conceding only 0.6 goals per match across their last five fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength for this encounter with no injuries or suspensions reported in the official lineups. Legia will rely on the momentum of their attacking unit which has already produced four goals in two games, while Korona's hopes rest on a defensive structure that kept the scoreline respectable against Jagiellonia last week.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Korona Kielce1.0
–
1.3Legia Warszawa
Season average total: 2.31 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Korona Kielce winDrawLegia Warszawa win
Market call
Winner : Legia Warszawa
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Korona Kielce
1390
Legia Warszawa
1441

Legia Warszawa are the stronger side — 50 rating points clear of Korona Kielce.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Korona KielceKorona KielceLegia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
1.17Goals scored / game1.77
1.50Goals conceded / game0.85
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Korona Kielce 12 games, Legia Warszawa 13 games.

Korona KielceKorona KielceLegia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
17%Games with a clean sheet31%
25%Games they failed to score8%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Legia Warszawa
5–1
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
1–1
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
1–2
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
0–2
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
1–1
Korona Kielce
Form check

Their recent form.

Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
Korona KielcevGKS Katowice
1–0
W
Lech PoznanvKorona Kielce
6–1
L
Pogon SzczecinvKorona Kielce
2–0
L
Korona KielcevRaków Częstochowa
3–2
W
Korona KielcevGornik Zabrze
0–2
L
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Gornik ZabrzevLegia Warszawa
0–0
D
Legia WarszawavLech Poznan
1–2
L
Cracovia KrakowvLegia Warszawa
1–1
D
Legia WarszawavWisla Krakow
2–0
W
JagielloniavLegia Warszawa
1–3
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
12
10
1
1
+21
31
2
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
13
8
4
1
+10
28
3
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
13
6
6
1
+12
24
4
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
12
7
3
2
+8
24
5
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
13
6
4
3
+1
22
6
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
13
7
0
6
+6
21
7
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
13
6
3
4
+4
21
8
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
13
6
3
4
+2
21
9
JagielloniaJagiellonia
12
6
0
6
-1
18
10
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
13
5
3
5
-5
18
11
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
13
4
4
5
-3
16
12
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
12
4
3
5
-6
15
13
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
13
3
3
7
-6
12
14
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
13
1
8
4
-2
11
15
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
13
3
2
8
-14
11
16
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
13
2
3
8
-8
9
17
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
13
3
0
10
-10
9
18
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
13
2
2
9
-9
8