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Pro League (Belgium)
·
KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
8th · 10 pts·LDWWW
vs
—
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
1st · 19 pts·WWWWW
The story

Struggling sides seek first points at Het Kuipje

KVC Westerlo and Union St. Gilloise clash in the early stages of the Pro League season with both clubs desperate to climb out of the bottom three after opening the campaign in the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

KVC Westerlo enter this fixture sitting 14th on 0 points, looking to arrest a poor run of form that has seen them winless in their last five matches (D2, L3). Issame Charai’s side is under pressure to improve on last season's ninth-place finish, particularly after a disappointing qualification round where they lost three of their final four games.

Union St. Gilloise find themselves in the unusual position of 16th place with 0 points. Despite their league standing, they have shown flashes of quality in pre-season and European competition, notably a 2-1 win over Lille and a 3-3 draw with Bodo/Glimt. However, a heavy 7-3 defeat to PSV Eindhoven exposed significant defensive gaps that need addressing.

Head-to-head history

Historically, Union St. Gilloise have held the upper hand in this fixture with 13 wins compared to Westerlo's 6. Recent encounters have been particularly difficult for the hosts, who have lost three of their last six Jupiler Pro League meetings against Union.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Union St. Gilloise have become draw specialists on the road, recording four stalemates in their last six away matches across all competitions.
  • Westerlo have struggled for consistency at Het Kuipje, despite maintaining a 50 percent win rate in recent league outings.
  • Union SG have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last two competitive-level fixtures, conceding ten goals in that span.
  • Westerlo are seeking their first victory since a difficult end to the 2025/26 campaign.
Key players & missing men

Westerlo are sweating over the fitness of left-back Fabio Ferraro, who is currently carrying a knock and remains a doubt for the starting XI. No other major absences are reported for either side, meaning Union SG should arrive with a full-strength squad as they look to replicate the attacking form that saw them put three past Bodo/Glimt.

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We have published a signal on KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
KVC Westerlo1.5
–
3.1Union St. Gilloise
Season average total: 4.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
0%
50%
50%
KVC Westerlo winDrawUnion St. Gilloise win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Union St. Gilloise
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

KVC Westerlo
1475
Union St. Gilloise
1717

Union St. Gilloise are the stronger side — 241 rating points clear of KVC Westerlo.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

KVC WesterloKVC WesterloUnion St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
2.14Goals scored / game3.00
2.29Goals conceded / game0.43
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — KVC Westerlo 7 games, Union St. Gilloise 7 games.

KVC WesterloKVC WesterloUnion St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
29%Games with a clean sheet71%
14%Games they failed to score14%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

KVC Westerlo
1–5
Union St. Gilloise
KVC Westerlo
0–0
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
2–0
KVC Westerlo
Union St. Gilloise
3–1
KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
4–3
Union St. Gilloise
Form check

Their recent form.

KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
St. TruidenvKVC Westerlo
0–2
W
KVC WesterlovStandard Liege
4–2
W
KV MechelenvKVC Westerlo
0–4
W
KVC WesterlovZulte Waregem
2–2
D
Lommel UnitedvKVC Westerlo
4–0
L
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
On a strong winning run
Last 5
5W · 0D · 0L
AntwerpvUnion St. Gilloise
0–2
W
Union St. GilloisevLommel United
5–0
W
CharleroivUnion St. Gilloise
2–3
W
St. TruidenvUnion St. Gilloise
0–3
W
Union St. GilloisevAnderlecht
3–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Pro League (Belgium) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
7
6
1
0
+18
19
2
GentGent
7
6
1
0
+9
19
3
Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
7
6
0
1
+12
18
4
CharleroiCharleroi
7
6
0
1
+8
18
5
AnderlechtAnderlecht
7
4
1
2
+2
13
6
Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem
7
3
2
2
+3
11
7
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
7
3
2
2
+1
11
8
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
7
3
1
3
-1
10
9
SK BeverenSK Beveren
7
3
0
4
-4
9
10
GenkGenk
7
2
3
2
+1
9
11
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
7
2
2
3
+0
8
12
Lommel UnitedLommel United
7
2
2
3
-2
8
13
AntwerpAntwerp
7
2
1
4
-4
7
14
RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
7
1
1
5
-7
4
15
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
7
1
1
5
-8
4
16
KortrijkKortrijk
7
1
0
6
-13
3
17
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
7
0
3
4
-6
3
18
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
7
0
3
4
-9
3