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Full time
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Le Havre
Le Havre
18th · 2 pts·LDLDL
vs
Monaco
Monaco
1st · 13 pts·WWWDW
The story

Filipe Luis debuts as Le Havre target home breakthrough

Both Le Havre and Monaco enter the opening day of the 2026-27 campaign looking to escape the early-season relegation zone and set a positive tone for the year ahead.

Match news & current form

Le Havre begin their fourth consecutive season in the top flight following a 2025-26 campaign where they secured 35 points, their highest total since the league moved to a 34-match format. Manager Didier Digard will be desperate to improve a poor home record that saw the side fail to win any of their final five matches at Stade Oceane last term.

Monaco enter a new era under the guidance of former defender Filipe Luis, who makes his European club management debut. After a disappointing seventh-place finish last season and a run of just one win in their final six games, the visitors are under pressure to justify their status as one of the league's heavyweights from the first whistle.

Head-to-head history

Stalemate has been the defining theme of this fixture recently; the last three meetings held at Le Havre have all ended in draws. Their most recent encounter in January finished in a 0-0 deadlock, though Monaco have historically struggled to impose themselves away from home in this match-up.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Le Havre have picked up points in six of their last seven Ligue 1 matches.
  • Monaco managed only six away victories throughout the entire previous league campaign.
  • Le Havre are currently on a five-match winless streak at the Stade Oceane.
  • The home side lost only four of their 17 league games at home last season despite their low finish.
Key players & missing men

Le Havre are boosted by the return of Amir Richardson on loan, while new signing Junior Mwanga is expected to debut. However, they are thin at the back with Stephan Zagadou (cruciate ligament) and Felix Mambimbi (Achilles) ruled out. Monaco travel without Takumi Minamino and Mohammed Salisu, both sidelined with cruciate ligament injuries, alongside Folarin Balogun and Ansu Fati. The club also recently confirmed the contract termination of Paul Pogba.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Le Havre vs Monaco and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Le Havre0.5
1.2Monaco
Season average total: 1.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
0%
50%
50%
Le Havre winDrawMonaco win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Monaco
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Le Havre
1580
Monaco
1718

Monaco are the stronger side — 137 rating points clear of Le Havre.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Le HavreLe Havre
Goals scored
1.20
Expected (xG)
1.36
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
MonacoMonaco
Goals scored
1.80
Expected (xG)
1.28
Clinical — scoring above their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Le HavreLe HavreMonacoMonaco
0.80Goals scored / game1.60
1.40Goals conceded / game0.60
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Le Havre 5 games, Monaco 5 games.

Le HavreLe HavreMonacoMonaco
20%Games with a clean sheet40%
40%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Le Havre
0–1
Monaco
Le Havre
0–0
Monaco
Monaco
3–1
Le Havre
Le Havre
1–1
Monaco
Monaco
3–1
Le Havre
Form check

Their recent form.

Le Havre
Le Havre
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
ToulousevLe Havre
3–2
L
Le HavrevAngers
0–0
D
Le HavrevStade Brestois 29
1–2
L
LyonvLe Havre
1–1
D
Le HavrevMonaco
0–1
L
Monaco
Monaco
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
MonacovLens
2–1
W
StrasbourgvMonaco
1–1
D
Paris Saint GermainvMonaco
1–2
W
MonacovMarseille
2–0
W
Le HavrevMonaco
0–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
MonacoMonaco
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
LyonLyon
5
3
2
0
+8
11
3
Paris FCParis FC
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
LilleLille
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
RennesRennes
5
3
1
1
-1
10
6
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
5
2
2
1
+1
8
7
AngersAngers
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
StrasbourgStrasbourg
5
2
1
2
+0
7
9
Le MansLe Mans
5
1
3
1
+0
6
10
AuxerreAuxerre
5
2
0
3
-5
6
11
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
5
1
2
2
-1
5
12
LorientLorient
5
1
2
2
-1
5
13
ToulouseToulouse
5
1
2
2
-2
5
14
NiceNice
5
1
2
2
-3
5
15
LensLens
5
1
1
3
+0
4
16
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
5
1
1
3
-7
4
17
MarseilleMarseille
5
1
0
4
-1
3
18
Le HavreLe Havre
5
0
2
3
-3
2