Le Havre enter this clash fighting to escape the relegation zone, while Stade Brestois 29 look to bridge the gap to the European places.
Didier Digard’s Le Havre side currently sit 15th, occupying a relegation spot with 32 games left to secure their top-flight status. They come into this fixture following a hard-fought 1-1 draw away at Lyon, a result that offered some stability after a narrow 1-0 home defeat to Monaco. Despite their league position, the Normandy outfit have recently reinforced their reputation for defensive resilience, having pushed league leaders PSG to the limit in a close-fought contest earlier this term.
Stade Brestois 29 occupy 11th place, sitting just two points adrift of the European qualification spots. Eric Roy’s side have become draw specialists recently, recording back-to-back 2-2 stalemates against Toulouse and Le Mans. While they have successfully moved away from the immediate danger zone, a lack of clinical finishing has hindered their progress, with the side failing to score more than a single goal in five consecutive Ligue 1 matches prior to their recent high-scoring draws.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Stade Brestois 29 are the stronger side — 41 rating points clear of Le Havre.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Le Havre 5 games, Stade Brestois 29 5 games.
No prior meetings on record.
Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.