Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 20h
Serie A (Italy)
·
Lecce
Lecce
14th · 9 pts·WLLWL
vs
—
Genoa
Genoa
13th · 10 pts·LWLWW
The story

Lecce host Genoa separated by a single point

Just one point separates Lecce and Genoa in mid-table as both sides seek stability after erratic openings to the campaign.

Match news & current form

Lecce sit 14th on nine points after eight games, having experienced a patchy start to the season. They stumbled in their last outing, falling 2-0 at home against Juventus, but had previously demonstrated their quality on the road with an emphatic 3-0 victory over Udinese.

Genoa occupy 13th place on 10 points after nine games as they continue to search for consistency. They head into this trip following a 2-0 defeat away at AS Roma, leaving them with three losses across their last five fixtures.

Head-to-head history

Lecce secured a 1-0 win in the most recent meeting between the clubs in May 2026. The previous two league clashes before that finished in a 0-0 stalemate and a 2-1 victory for Genoa.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Lecce won the last head-to-head meeting 1-0 in May 2026.
  • Genoa have lost three of their last five matches in all competitions.
  • Two of the last four meetings between these two sides have ended in goalless draws.
Key players & missing men

Wladimiro Falcone continues between the posts for Lecce, while Konan N'dri offers their main creative spark in attack with 15 career goals and 12 assists. Genoa will look to Stephan El Shaarawy to threaten in the final third, though the visitors remain without L. Venturino due to a knee injury.

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We have published a signal on Lecce vs Genoa — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Lecce vs Genoa and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Lecce1.3
–
1.4Genoa
Season average total: 2.75 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Lecce winDrawGenoa win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Genoa
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Lecce
1568
Genoa
1618

Genoa are the stronger side — 50 rating points clear of Lecce.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

LecceLecce
Goals scored
1.30
Expected (xG)
1.61
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
GenoaGenoa
Goals scored
0.80
Expected (xG)
0.92
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

LecceLecceGenoaGenoa
1.13Goals scored / game0.89
1.75Goals conceded / game1.44
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Lecce 8 games, Genoa 9 games.

LecceLecceGenoaGenoa
25%Games with a clean sheet22%
50%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Lecce
1–0
Genoa
Genoa
0–0
Lecce
Genoa
2–1
Lecce
Lecce
0–0
Genoa
Genoa
2–1
Lecce
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Genoa
L. Venturino
Out · Jumpers Knee
Form check

Their recent form.

Lecce
Lecce
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
LeccevJuventus
0–2
L
UdinesevLecce
0–3
W
LeccevBologna
1–2
L
AC MilanvLecce
3–0
L
LeccevMonza
3–2
W
Genoa
Genoa
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
GenoavJuventus
2–0
W
GenoavVenezia
1–0
W
AS RomavGenoa
2–0
L
GenoavFiorentina
2–1
W
ParmavGenoa
2–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
InterInter
9
8
1
0
+15
25
2
LazioLazio
9
8
1
0
+15
25
3
AS RomaAS Roma
9
6
3
0
+15
21
4
ComoComo
9
6
2
1
+9
20
5
AC MilanAC Milan
9
5
3
1
+7
18
6
NapoliNapoli
9
4
2
3
+6
14
7
FrosinoneFrosinone
8
4
2
2
+4
14
8
JuventusJuventus
9
4
2
3
+1
14
9
TorinoTorino
9
4
1
4
+0
13
10
CagliariCagliari
9
4
1
4
-5
13
11
BolognaBologna
9
3
2
4
+0
11
12
AtalantaAtalanta
8
3
1
4
-1
10
13
GenoaGenoa
9
3
1
5
-5
10
14
LecceLecce
8
3
0
5
-5
9
15
SassuoloSassuolo
9
2
2
5
-8
8
16
MonzaMonza
9
2
1
6
-6
7
17
UdineseUdinese
9
1
2
6
-9
5
18
ParmaParma
9
1
2
6
-10
5
19
FiorentinaFiorentina
8
1
1
6
-10
4
20
VeneziaVenezia
9
1
0
8
-13
3