Just one point separates Lecce and Genoa in mid-table as both sides seek stability after erratic openings to the campaign.
Lecce sit 14th on nine points after eight games, having experienced a patchy start to the season. They stumbled in their last outing, falling 2-0 at home against Juventus, but had previously demonstrated their quality on the road with an emphatic 3-0 victory over Udinese.
Genoa occupy 13th place on 10 points after nine games as they continue to search for consistency. They head into this trip following a 2-0 defeat away at AS Roma, leaving them with three losses across their last five fixtures.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Genoa are the stronger side — 50 rating points clear of Lecce.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Lecce 8 games, Genoa 9 games.
Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.