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Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
3rd · 19 pts·WWLLW
vs
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
18th · 3 pts·LLWLL
The story

Title-chasing Lech Poznan host winless basement-dwellers Raków

Second-place Lech Poznan look to maintain their title charge against a Raków Częstochowa side currently rooted to the bottom of the table without a single point.

Match news & current form

Lech Poznan enter this fixture in high spirits, sitting just two points off the league leaders with a game in hand. They have secured three wins from their last four, including a gritty 3-2 away victory against Widzew Łódź and a dominant 3-0 home display against Piast Gliwice. The hosts are firmly in the title race and have shown significant scoring depth in recent weeks.

In stark contrast, Raków Częstochowa are enduring a nightmare start to the campaign. Sitting 18th with zero points, they have lost four consecutive matches. Their most recent outing was a heavy 5-2 home defeat to Jagiellonia, following three successive 2-1 losses. The visitors are desperate to find their first points of the season to begin a long climb out of the relegation zone.

Head-to-head history

History favors the hosts in recent times, with the most recent meeting between these two sides resulting in a 3-0 victory for Lech Poznan. While Raków have historically been competitive in this fixture, their current defensive form suggests they will struggle to replicate past successes at the Enea Stadion.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Raków Częstochowa have conceded at least one goal in eight consecutive away matches in the Ekstraklasa.
  • Lech Poznan remain unbeaten in their last four league outings (W3, D1).
  • Raków have lost their last four matches by an aggregate score of 11-5.
  • Lech Poznan have scored two or more goals in three of their last four matches.
Key players & missing men

Lech Poznan’s Yannick Agnero and Patrik Wålemark have been central to their recent attacking fluidity, while Antonio Milic has been a doubt following a recent injury scare. For the visitors, Jonatan Braut Brunes remains the primary threat, having previously netted four goals in five away matches. Raków will be monitoring the fitness of Pawel Dawidowicz after he was forced off in a previous match.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Lech Poznan2.1
0.7Raków Częstochowa
Season average total: 2.80 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Lech Poznan winDrawRaków Częstochowa win
Market call
Double chance : Lech Poznan or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Lech Poznan
1521
Raków Częstochowa
1513

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Lech PoznanLech PoznanRaków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
2.13Goals scored / game1.33
0.88Goals conceded / game2.33
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Lech Poznan 8 games, Raków Częstochowa 9 games.

Lech PoznanLech PoznanRaków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
38%Games with a clean sheet0%
13%Games they failed to score11%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Lech Poznan
1–0
Raków Częstochowa
Lech Poznan
4–3
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
2–2
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
0–1
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
0–0
Lech Poznan
Form check

Their recent form.

Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
Lech PoznanvRadomiak Radom
5–1
W
Crystal PalacevLech Poznan
4–0
L
Gornik ZabrzevLech Poznan
2–1
L
Lech PoznanvRaków Częstochowa
1–0
W
Lech PoznanvJagiellonia
2–1
W
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Losing form badly
Last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
Korona KielcevRaków Częstochowa
3–2
L
Raków CzęstochowavZaglebie Lubin
2–3
L
Raków CzęstochowavMotor Lublin
2–1
W
Lech PoznanvRaków Częstochowa
1–0
L
Raków CzęstochowavGornik Zabrze
1–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
9
7
1
1
+8
22
2
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
9
5
4
0
+11
19
3
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
8
6
1
1
+10
19
4
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
9
5
2
2
+5
17
5
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
8
4
3
1
+6
15
6
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
9
4
3
2
+2
15
7
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
9
4
3
2
+1
15
8
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
9
4
1
4
+1
13
9
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
8
4
0
4
+3
12
10
JagielloniaJagiellonia
8
4
0
4
-1
12
11
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
8
3
2
3
-3
11
12
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
9
1
6
2
+0
9
13
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
9
2
2
5
-5
8
14
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
9
2
2
5
-13
8
15
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
9
1
3
5
-4
6
16
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
9
1
3
5
-6
6
17
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
8
1
2
5
-6
5
18
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
9
1
0
8
-9
3