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Full time
Premier League (England)
·
Leeds
Leeds
5th · 9 pts·WDDWD
vs
—
Brentford
Brentford
4th · 9 pts·WDDDW
The story

Early momentum at stake as Elland Road hosts Brentford

Both sides arrive at Elland Road with perfect starts to the campaign, looking to solidify their early standing in the European places.

Match news & current form

Leeds sit 9th with three points and enter this fixture following a successful opening week that included a league victory over Nottingham Forest and progress in the Carabao Cup. Manager Daniel Farke will be encouraged by his side's defensive discipline, particularly the form of James Justin and Jaka Bijol, as they look to move into the continental qualification spots.

Brentford currently hold 4th place after a statement 3-0 victory over Tottenham to open their season. Under Keith Andrews, the Bees have been prolific, netting nine goals across their first two competitive matches of the 2026/27 cycle. They are now chasing a piece of club history, looking to win their opening two matches of a Premier League season for the first time.

Head-to-head history

This fixture has become synonymous with stalemates recently, with the last three Premier League meetings between Leeds and Brentford ending all square. Historically, Elland Road has been a difficult hunting ground for the London side, who are looking to end an 11-year wait for a league victory at this stadium.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Brentford are aiming to win their first two matches of a Premier League season for the first time in their history.
  • Leeds and Brentford share an identical league record in 2026, with both clubs recording seven wins, nine draws, and five defeats.
  • The last three Premier League encounters between these two sides have resulted in draws.
  • Leeds ranked third in the division for goals from set-pieces and penalties last season, converted 22 times from dead-ball situations.
Key players & missing men

Anton Stach is the man in form for Leeds; after finishing last season as one of the league's most creative players, he secured the matchwinner against Forest with a direct free-kick. Brentford rely on goalkeeper Caoimhin Kelleher, who recently reached 11 Premier League shutouts for the club, while strikers Igor Thiago and Dominic Calvert-Lewin lead the line. Both squads appear to have a clean bill of health with no fresh absences reported.

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We have published a signal on Leeds vs Brentford — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Leeds vs Brentford and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Leeds1.6
–
1.1Brentford
Season average total: 2.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Leeds winDrawBrentford win
Market call
Winner : Brentford
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Leeds
1797
Brentford
1837

Brentford are the stronger side — 39 rating points clear of Leeds.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

LeedsLeeds
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.51
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
BrentfordBrentford
Goals scored
1.70
Expected (xG)
1.78
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

LeedsLeedsBrentfordBrentford
1.40Goals scored / game2.00
0.60Goals conceded / game0.80
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Leeds 5 games, Brentford 5 games.

LeedsLeedsBrentfordBrentford
40%Games with a clean sheet40%
20%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Leeds
1–1
Brentford
Leeds
0–0
Brentford
Brentford
1–1
Leeds
Leeds
0–0
Brentford
Brentford
5–2
Leeds
Form check

Their recent form.

Leeds
Leeds
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
LeedsvCrystal Palace
0–0
D
LeedsvNewcastle
4–1
W
BrightonvLeeds
1–1
D
LeedsvBrentford
1–1
D
Nottingham ForestvLeeds
0–1
W
Brentford
Brentford
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
BrentfordvChelsea
3–0
W
BournemouthvBrentford
2–2
D
BrentfordvSunderland
1–1
D
LeedsvBrentford
1–1
D
BrentfordvTottenham
3–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
5
5
0
0
+8
15
2
ArsenalArsenal
5
4
0
1
+4
12
3
BrightonBrighton
5
3
1
1
+11
10
4
BrentfordBrentford
5
2
3
0
+6
9
5
LeedsLeeds
5
2
3
0
+4
9
6
LiverpoolLiverpool
5
2
3
0
+3
9
7
EvertonEverton
5
2
3
0
+3
9
8
Hull CityHull City
5
2
2
1
+2
8
9
NewcastleNewcastle
5
2
2
1
+0
8
10
ChelseaChelsea
5
2
1
2
-2
7
11
IpswichIpswich
5
2
0
3
-4
6
12
Manchester UnitedManchester United
5
1
2
2
+0
5
13
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
5
1
2
2
-1
5
14
SunderlandSunderland
5
1
1
3
-4
4
15
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
5
1
1
3
-5
4
16
Aston VillaAston Villa
5
1
1
3
-5
4
17
BournemouthBournemouth
5
0
3
2
-2
3
18
CoventryCoventry
5
1
0
4
-9
3
19
FulhamFulham
5
0
2
3
-3
2
20
TottenhamTottenham
5
0
2
3
-6
2