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Full time
Premier League (England)
·
Leeds
Leeds
5th · 9 pts·WDDWD
vs
Newcastle
Newcastle
9th · 8 pts·DWDLW
The story

Leeds host Newcastle with both sides protecting unbeaten starts

Both sides look to maintain their unbeaten league form as Leeds sit 11th and Newcastle 10th after three matches.

Match news & current form

Leeds United have made a steady start to the campaign, sitting 11th with five points after three games. Daniel Farke’s side remain unbeaten in the league following a 1-1 draw at Brighton, though they will be looking to bounce back from a heavy midweek EFL Cup exit where they conceded six goals against Chelsea.

Newcastle United also sit on five points after three games and are enjoying an unbeaten start under Matthias Jaissle. They come into this fixture following a 1-0 win over Millwall in the cup and a high-scoring 2-2 draw against Liverpool in their last home league outing.

Head-to-head history

Newcastle hold a strong recent record in this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last six Premier League meetings against Leeds. The most recent encounter in January was a dramatic 4-3 victory for the Magpies, secured by a Harvey Barnes goal in the 102nd minute—one of the latest goals in the competition's history.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Leeds have lost only one of their last 12 Premier League matches.
  • Newcastle are aiming to win their first two top-flight away games of a season for the first time since 1995-96.
  • No Premier League defence has managed to keep a clean sheet against Daniel Farke's side so far this season.
  • The points have been shared in the last two league meetings between these sides at Elland Road.
Key players & missing men

Leeds will be without M. Joseph and J. Rodon for this clash. Newcastle’s squad depth is being tested with Dan Burn, Joelinton, William Osula, and E. Jaouen all unavailable. Anthony Elanga has been a bright spark for the visitors recently, while Harvey Barnes remains a significant threat following his heroics in the previous meeting.

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We have published a signal on Leeds vs Newcastle — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Leeds vs Newcastle and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Leeds1.8
1.1Newcastle
Season average total: 2.92 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Leeds winDrawNewcastle win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Newcastle
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Leeds
1797
Newcastle
1838

Newcastle are the stronger side — 40 rating points clear of Leeds.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

LeedsLeeds
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.51
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
NewcastleNewcastle
Goals scored
1.60
Expected (xG)
1.36
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

LeedsLeedsNewcastleNewcastle
1.40Goals scored / game1.80
0.60Goals conceded / game1.80
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Leeds 5 games, Newcastle 5 games.

LeedsLeedsNewcastleNewcastle
40%Games with a clean sheet20%
20%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Leeds
4–1
Newcastle
Newcastle
4–3
Leeds
Leeds
0–0
Newcastle
Leeds
2–2
Newcastle
Newcastle
0–0
Leeds
Form check

Their recent form.

Leeds
Leeds
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
LeedsvCrystal Palace
0–0
D
LeedsvNewcastle
4–1
W
BrightonvLeeds
1–1
D
LeedsvBrentford
1–1
D
Nottingham ForestvLeeds
0–1
W
Newcastle
Newcastle
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
NewcastlevHull City
2–1
W
LeedsvNewcastle
4–1
L
NewcastlevBournemouth
2–2
D
TottenhamvNewcastle
0–2
W
NewcastlevLiverpool
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
5
5
0
0
+8
15
2
ArsenalArsenal
5
4
0
1
+4
12
3
BrightonBrighton
5
3
1
1
+11
10
4
BrentfordBrentford
5
2
3
0
+6
9
5
LeedsLeeds
5
2
3
0
+4
9
6
LiverpoolLiverpool
5
2
3
0
+3
9
7
EvertonEverton
5
2
3
0
+3
9
8
Hull CityHull City
5
2
2
1
+2
8
9
NewcastleNewcastle
5
2
2
1
+0
8
10
ChelseaChelsea
5
2
1
2
-2
7
11
IpswichIpswich
5
2
0
3
-4
6
12
Manchester UnitedManchester United
5
1
2
2
+0
5
13
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
5
1
2
2
-1
5
14
SunderlandSunderland
5
1
1
3
-4
4
15
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
5
1
1
3
-5
4
16
Aston VillaAston Villa
5
1
1
3
-5
4
17
BournemouthBournemouth
5
0
3
2
-2
3
18
CoventryCoventry
5
1
0
4
-9
3
19
FulhamFulham
5
0
2
3
-3
2
20
TottenhamTottenham
5
0
2
3
-6
2