Both sides look to maintain their unbeaten league form as Leeds sit 11th and Newcastle 10th after three matches.
Leeds United have made a steady start to the campaign, sitting 11th with five points after three games. Daniel Farke’s side remain unbeaten in the league following a 1-1 draw at Brighton, though they will be looking to bounce back from a heavy midweek EFL Cup exit where they conceded six goals against Chelsea.
Newcastle United also sit on five points after three games and are enjoying an unbeaten start under Matthias Jaissle. They come into this fixture following a 1-0 win over Millwall in the cup and a high-scoring 2-2 draw against Liverpool in their last home league outing.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Newcastle are the stronger side — 40 rating points clear of Leeds.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Leeds 5 games, Newcastle 5 games.
Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.