Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 1d 14h
Premier League (England)
·
Leeds
Leeds
12th · 11 pts·DLDDL
vs
—
Tottenham
Tottenham
9th · 12 pts·LDWWW
The story

Leeds host Tottenham aiming to halt winless run

Just one point separates the sides after nine games as 12th-placed Leeds look to end a five-match winless streak against a ninth-placed Tottenham side finding rhythm under Roberto De Zerbi.

Match news & current form

Leeds sit 12th on 11 points after nine games as Daniel Farke looks to halt a five-match league run without a win. Following a goalless draw at Sunderland and back-to-back league blanks for the first time since March, Leeds are aiming to turn solid defensive foundations at Elland Road into maximum points.

Tottenham enter the weekend ninth on 12 points after nine matches, picking up momentum under Roberto De Zerbi. Spurs secured a 2-0 victory away against Chelsea last time out in the league and travel north having drawn 1-1 at Manchester United in their previous away outing.

Head-to-head history

The two sides drew 1-1 when they last met at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in May 2026. Prior to that stalemate, Tottenham had won the previous four encounters, including a 2-1 victory at Elland Road in October 2025 and a 4-1 win in Yorkshire back in May 2023.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Leeds have drawn back-to-back Premier League games without scoring for the first time since March.
  • Leeds are seeking their first league victory in six attempts, having drawn three and lost two of their last five.
  • Tottenham are unbeaten in their last five league meetings with Leeds, recording four wins and one draw.
Key players & missing men

England international Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads the Leeds attack having scored four Premier League goals this season, though Farke remains without injured duo Joe Rodon and Mateo Joseph. Tottenham welcome back Rodrigo Bentancur following a three-match domestic ban, with Pedro Porro pushing for a starting role while Dominic Solanke is set to lead the line.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Leeds vs Tottenham and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Leeds1.3
–
0.8Tottenham
Season average total: 2.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Leeds winDrawTottenham win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Tottenham
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Leeds
1797
Tottenham
1777

Leeds are the stronger side — 20 rating points clear of Tottenham.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

LeedsLeeds
Goals scored
0.90
Expected (xG)
1.38
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
TottenhamTottenham
Goals scored
1.10
Expected (xG)
1.49
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

LeedsLeedsTottenhamTottenham
1.00Goals scored / game1.11
0.89Goals conceded / game1.11
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Leeds 9 games, Tottenham 9 games.

LeedsLeedsTottenhamTottenham
33%Games with a clean sheet44%
33%Games they failed to score44%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Tottenham
1–1
Leeds
Leeds
1–2
Tottenham
Leeds
1–4
Tottenham
Tottenham
4–3
Leeds
Leeds
0–4
Tottenham
Form check

Their recent form.

Leeds
Leeds
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
0W · 3D · 2L
BournemouthvLeeds
2–0
L
SunderlandvLeeds
0–0
D
LeedsvManchester United
1–1
D
ArsenalvLeeds
2–1
L
LeedsvCrystal Palace
0–0
D
Tottenham
Tottenham
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
TottenhamvCrystal Palace
2–0
W
ChelseavTottenham
0–2
W
TottenhamvCoventry
3–1
W
Manchester UnitedvTottenham
1–1
D
TottenhamvAston Villa
2–3
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
ArsenalArsenal
9
8
0
1
+9
24
2
Manchester CityManchester City
9
7
0
2
+10
21
3
BrightonBrighton
9
6
1
2
+17
19
4
ChelseaChelsea
9
5
1
3
+4
16
5
LiverpoolLiverpool
9
4
3
2
+2
15
6
BrentfordBrentford
9
3
5
1
+7
14
7
EvertonEverton
9
3
4
2
+0
13
8
BournemouthBournemouth
9
3
3
3
+1
12
9
TottenhamTottenham
9
3
3
3
+0
12
10
Aston VillaAston Villa
9
3
3
3
-3
12
11
Hull CityHull City
9
2
5
2
+1
11
12
LeedsLeeds
9
2
5
2
+1
11
13
NewcastleNewcastle
9
3
2
4
-3
11
14
IpswichIpswich
9
3
2
4
-4
11
15
FulhamFulham
9
2
3
4
-2
9
16
CoventryCoventry
9
3
0
6
-7
9
17
Manchester UnitedManchester United
9
1
4
4
-5
7
18
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
9
2
1
6
-12
7
19
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
9
1
3
5
-6
6
20
SunderlandSunderland
9
1
2
6
-10
5