Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 18h
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Lens
Lens
15th · 4 pts·WLLDL
vs
—
Lyon
Lyon
2nd · 11 pts·WDWDW
The story

Lens host unbeaten Lyon seeking a turnaround at home

Lens aim to reignite their domestic campaign at Stade Bollaert-Delelis against an unbeaten Lyon side sitting second after five rounds.

Match news & current form

Lens have endured a slow start to the campaign, sitting 15th on four points after five matches following a 2-1 defeat at Monaco. Currently navigating a transitional period following a recent managerial change, the Sang et Or will rely heavily on their traditionally strong home footing to kick-start their season.

Lyon have made a strong start, sitting second on 11 points after five games and remaining unbeaten in Ligue 1. They arrive full of confidence after cruising to a 4-0 victory against Rennes, blending defensive resilience with potent attacking form.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings have produced tight and dramatic affairs, though Lens secured an emphatic 4-0 away win in the most recent clash in May 2026. The sides also shared a 2-2 draw earlier that year, while Lyon took a 1-0 victory at Bollaert in August 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Lens have won 18 of their last 21 home matches in all competitions.
  • Lyon are unbeaten in Ligue 1 this season with three wins and two draws.
  • Lens have drawn three of their last six home matches against Lyon.
  • Lens routed Lyon 4-0 in the last competitive encounter between the two clubs.
Key players & missing men

Lens must navigate multiple absences, with S. Abdulhamid, S. Baidoo, J. Chavez, M. Nawrocki, Y. Titraoui, and A. Haidara all sidelined. Lyon make the trip without J. Duranville, R. Himbert, N. Tagliafico, and M. Niakhate.

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We have published a signal on Lens vs Lyon — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Lens vs Lyon and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Lens1.3
–
1.3Lyon
Season average total: 2.50 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Lens winDrawLyon win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Lyon
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Lens
1767
Lyon
1732

Lens are the stronger side — 35 rating points clear of Lyon.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

LensLens
Goals scored
1.80
Expected (xG)
2.31
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
LyonLyon
Goals scored
2.00
Expected (xG)
1.87
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

LensLensLyonLyon
1.80Goals scored / game2.00
1.80Goals conceded / game0.40
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Lens 5 games, Lyon 5 games.

LensLensLyonLyon
0%Games with a clean sheet60%
20%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Lyon
0–4
Lens
Lyon
2–2
Lens
Lens
0–1
Lyon
Lyon
1–2
Lens
Lens
0–0
Lyon
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Lens
S. Abdulhamid
Out · Contusion
Lens
S. Baidoo
Out · Knee Injury
Lens
J. Chavez
Out · Thigh Injury
Lens
M. Nawrocki
Out · Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Lens
Lens
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
MonacovLens
2–1
L
Le MansvLens
2–2
D
LensvLorient
0–1
L
StrasbourgvLens
2–1
L
LensvAuxerre
5–2
W
Lyon
Lyon
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
LyonvRennes
4–0
W
Paris FCvLyon
0–0
D
LyonvAuxerre
3–1
W
LyonvLe Havre
1–1
D
ToulousevLyon
0–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
MonacoMonaco
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
LyonLyon
5
3
2
0
+8
11
3
Paris FCParis FC
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
LilleLille
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
RennesRennes
5
3
1
1
-1
10
6
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
5
2
2
1
+1
8
7
AngersAngers
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
StrasbourgStrasbourg
5
2
1
2
+0
7
9
Le MansLe Mans
5
1
3
1
+0
6
10
AuxerreAuxerre
5
2
0
3
-5
6
11
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
5
1
2
2
-1
5
12
LorientLorient
5
1
2
2
-1
5
13
ToulouseToulouse
5
1
2
2
-2
5
14
NiceNice
5
1
2
2
-3
5
15
LensLens
5
1
1
3
+0
4
16
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
5
1
1
3
-7
4
17
MarseilleMarseille
5
1
0
4
-1
3
18
Le HavreLe Havre
5
0
2
3
-3
2