Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 16h
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Lens
Lens
8th · 10 pts·LDLWW
vs
—
Paris FC
Paris FC
3rd · 14 pts·WDWLW
The story

Lens host flying Paris FC at Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens aim to build on last week's victory against Lyon as they welcome high-flying Paris FC to Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

Match news & current form

Lens sit 8th on 10 points after seven games, having had a mixed start to the campaign. They bounced back in their previous league outing with a 2-1 home victory over Lyon, following a narrow 2-1 defeat at Monaco and a 2-2 draw at Le Mans. However, their schedule has been demanding, featuring a midweek trip to Club Brugge in the Champions League just days before this fixture.

Paris FC sit 3rd on 14 points after seven games, enjoying a strong start to the season. Their momentum was slightly checked last time out in a 1-0 away loss to Lorient, but they had won three of their preceding four matches, including an impressive 3-2 victory away at Marseille and a 2-1 win over Strasbourg.

Head-to-head history

Lens have enjoyed the upper hand in recent competitive meetings between the clubs. The sides met twice in the 2025-26 campaign, with Lens winning 2-1 at home in October 2025 before cruising to a comprehensive 5-0 victory away at Paris FC in February 2026.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Lens scored two or more goals in both of their league meetings against Paris FC during the 2025-26 season.
  • Paris FC suffered their first defeat in five matches last week against Lorient.
  • Lens have won two of their last three encounters with Paris FC in all competitions.
Key players & missing men

Florian Thauvin offers crucial attacking quality and experience for Lens, having recorded 134 goals and 84 assists over his career, while goalkeeper Robin Risser will be relied upon between the posts. Paris FC will turn to veteran shot-stopper Kevin Trapp to maintain defensive order. Neither team has reported fresh injury absences ahead of the clash.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Lens1.7
–
1.2Paris FC
Season average total: 2.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Lens winDrawParis FC win
Market call
Double chance : Lens or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Lens
1767
Paris FC
1629

Lens are the stronger side — 138 rating points clear of Paris FC.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

LensLens
Goals scored
1.90
Expected (xG)
2.15
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Paris FCParis FC
Goals scored
1.90
Expected (xG)
2.02
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

LensLensParis FCParis FC
2.00Goals scored / game1.71
1.57Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Lens 7 games, Paris FC 7 games.

LensLensParis FCParis FC
0%Games with a clean sheet43%
14%Games they failed to score43%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Paris FC
0–5
Lens
Lens
2–1
Paris FC
Lens
0–0
Paris FC
Lens
1–2
Paris FC
Paris FC
0–2
Lens
Form check

Their recent form.

Lens
Lens
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Estac TroyesvLens
1–3
W
LensvLyon
2–1
W
MonacovLens
2–1
L
Le MansvLens
2–2
D
LensvLorient
0–1
L
Paris FC
Paris FC
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Paris FCvRennes
4–3
W
LorientvParis FC
1–0
L
Paris FCvStrasbourg
2–1
W
Paris FCvLyon
0–0
D
MarseillevParis FC
2–3
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
LyonLyon
7
4
2
1
+8
14
2
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
7
4
2
1
+5
14
3
Paris FCParis FC
7
4
2
1
+5
14
4
LilleLille
7
4
2
1
+5
14
5
MonacoMonaco
7
4
2
1
+4
14
6
RennesRennes
7
4
1
2
+1
13
7
LorientLorient
7
3
2
2
+1
11
8
LensLens
7
3
1
3
+3
10
9
MarseilleMarseille
7
3
0
4
+4
9
10
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
7
2
3
2
+3
9
11
ToulouseToulouse
7
2
3
2
+1
9
12
AuxerreAuxerre
7
3
0
4
-6
9
13
NiceNice
7
2
2
3
-3
8
14
StrasbourgStrasbourg
7
2
1
4
-3
7
15
AngersAngers
7
2
1
4
-6
7
16
Le MansLe Mans
7
1
3
3
-5
6
17
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
7
1
1
5
-11
4
18
Le HavreLe Havre
7
0
2
5
-6
2