Winlytics.AI
Full time
Liga MX (Mexico)
·
Leon
Leon
10th · 13 pts·WDLWD
vs
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
11th · 12 pts·DDWWD
The story

Leon seek survival points as Rondón leads Pachuca charge

Leon face a desperate early-season battle to escape the relegation zone against a Pachuca side currently occupying a continental qualification spot.

Match news & current form

Leon sit 16th with zero points and are already feeling the pressure of the relegation zone with 32 games remaining. Javier Gandolfi's side controlled possession in their last outing against Club Tijuana but failed to convert it into chances, eventually falling to a 1-0 defeat after conceding a penalty. This followed a high-scoring 3-2 home loss to Atlas, leaving the hosts searching for their first point of the campaign.

Pachuca currently hold 6th place and a continental spot with three points. They arrive following a 2-1 home loss to Club Queretaro, where they surrendered an early lead due to lapses in intensity. However, their away form is spearheaded by a dominant 3-0 victory over U.N.A.M. Pumas, showing they possess the clinical edge Leon currently lack.

Head-to-head history

Pachuca have asserted dominance in recent encounters, winning the last meeting 2-1. Over the last five fixtures between these clubs, Los Tuzos have secured two victories to Leon's one, with two matches ending in a draw.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Salomón Rondón has scored three of Pachuca's four league goals this season.
  • Leon have lost back-to-back matches to start the Apertura tournament.
  • Pachuca are looking to maintain their continental position after a mixed 1-1 start.
  • Leon have committed 13 fouls in their most recent fixture, including a decisive penalty.
Key players & missing men

Salomón Rondón is the man in form for the visitors, having netted three goals in just two appearances. For the hosts, the focus remains on Gandolfi finding a way to turn possession into goals. Pachuca will be without Andres Micolta due to a right knee injury and Israel Luna, who remains sidelined with a cruciate ligament issue. Leon have no fresh absences reported.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Leon vs CF Pachuca — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Leon vs CF Pachuca and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Leon1.1
1.3CF Pachuca
Season average total: 2.35 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Leon winDrawCF Pachuca win
Market call
Winner : CF Pachuca
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

LeonLeonCF PachucaCF Pachuca
1.38Goals scored / game1.63
1.13Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Leon 8 games, CF Pachuca 8 games.

LeonLeonCF PachucaCF Pachuca
38%Games with a clean sheet38%
13%Games they failed to score13%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Leon
1–0
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
2–1
Leon
Leon
1–1
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
1–2
Leon
Leon
0–0
CF Pachuca
Form check

Their recent form.

Leon
Leon
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Club QueretarovLeon
1–1
D
LeonvAtletico San Luis
2–0
W
U.N.A.M. - PumasvLeon
3–1
L
Atlante FCvLeon
1–1
D
LeonvMonterrey
2–0
W
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
CF PachucavClub Tijuana
2–2
D
Atlante FCvCF Pachuca
0–3
W
FC JuarezvCF Pachuca
0–2
W
CF PachucavGuadalajara Chivas
1–1
D
Atletico San LuisvCF Pachuca
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga MX (Mexico) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
TolucaToluca
9
6
1
2
+11
19
2
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
9
5
3
1
+9
18
3
Club AmericaClub America
8
5
2
1
+9
17
4
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
9
5
0
4
+1
15
5
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
8
4
2
2
+2
14
6
PueblaPuebla
9
4
2
3
+0
14
7
AtlasAtlas
9
4
2
3
-2
14
8
MonterreyMonterrey
8
4
1
3
+4
13
9
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
7
4
1
2
+3
13
10
LeonLeon
8
4
1
3
+2
13
11
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
9
3
3
3
+5
12
12
U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
9
3
3
3
-1
12
13
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
9
2
3
4
-5
9
14
Atlante FCAtlante FC
9
1
5
3
-5
8
15
NecaxaNecaxa
9
2
2
5
-6
8
16
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
9
1
4
4
-4
7
17
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
9
2
1
6
-6
7
18
FC JuarezFC Juarez
9
1
0
8
-17
3