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Liga MX (Mexico)
·
Leon
Leon
7th · 22 pts·WDLWD
vs
—
Monterrey
Monterrey
9th · 21 pts·DWWLD
The story

Leon hunt European spots as Monterrey eye title race

Leon look to break back into the European qualification places against a Monterrey side currently trailing the league leaders by just one point.

Match news & current form

Leon sit 11th, just one point off the European places, following a dramatic turnaround in form. After losing their opening two fixtures, Gandolfi's side have recovered with back-to-back league wins against Pachuca and Necaxa. They also arrive with confidence from a perfect Leagues Cup campaign where they defeated MLS heavyweights Nashville SC, Orlando City, and Inter Miami.

Monterrey remain firmly in the title hunt, sitting 3rd and just one point off the summit. Matias Almeyda’s side bounced back from a road defeat at Necaxa with a dominant 6-1 thrashing of FC Juarez last time out. Despite their prolific attack, they have shown vulnerability on their travels, evidenced by that recent stumble in Aguascalientes.

Head-to-head history

Monterrey have dominated this fixture recently, winning the last four encounters against Leon, including a 1-0 victory in their most recent meeting at Estadio BBVA. Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, Monterrey hold the upper hand with six victories compared to just two draws.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Daniel Arcila has scored in five consecutive matches for Leon, the best scoring run of his professional career.
  • Leon have covered the +0.25 Asian Handicap line in six of their last 10 league matches.
  • Monterrey are averaging nearly three goals per game this season following their 6-1 win over Juarez.
  • Leon have covered the +0.25 line in three of their last five home league fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Leon's attack is led by the clinical Daniel Arcila, supported by Diber Cambindo and Jordi Cortizo, with no fresh fitness concerns reported. Monterrey's offensive threat is spearheaded by Lucas Ocampos and Diego Rossi, while Luca Orellano enters the match in scoring form. Both squads are reported as settled with no new absences from their regular starting elevens.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Leon1.8
–
1.5Monterrey
Season average total: 3.31 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Leon winDrawMonterrey win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Monterrey
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

LeonLeonMonterreyMonterrey
1.50Goals scored / game1.86
1.29Goals conceded / game1.50
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Leon 14 games, Monterrey 14 games.

LeonLeonMonterreyMonterrey
29%Games with a clean sheet21%
7%Games they failed to score21%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Leon
2–0
Monterrey
Monterrey
1–0
Leon
Leon
1–3
Monterrey
Leon
0–2
Monterrey
Monterrey
2–1
Leon
Form check

Their recent form.

Leon
Leon
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
LeonvToluca
1–1
D
Tigres UANLvLeon
0–2
W
LeonvClub America
3–5
L
PueblavLeon
1–1
D
LeonvFC Juarez
2–1
W
Monterrey
Monterrey
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
MonterreyvClub Tijuana
3–3
D
MonterreyvGuadalajara Chivas
0–1
L
PueblavMonterrey
1–4
W
MonterreyvCF Pachuca
2–1
W
Club AmericavMonterrey
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga MX (Mexico) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Club AmericaClub America
15
8
5
2
+15
29
2
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
15
8
5
2
+11
29
3
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
15
9
2
4
+10
29
4
AtlasAtlas
15
8
3
4
+0
27
5
TolucaToluca
15
6
6
3
+10
24
6
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
15
5
7
3
+4
22
7
LeonLeon
15
6
4
5
+2
22
8
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
15
7
1
7
+1
22
9
MonterreyMonterrey
14
6
3
5
+5
21
10
U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
15
5
5
5
-2
20
11
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
14
6
2
6
-3
20
12
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
15
5
4
6
+6
19
13
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
15
5
4
6
-4
19
14
PueblaPuebla
15
4
4
7
-6
16
15
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
15
3
6
6
-7
15
16
Atlante FCAtlante FC
15
3
5
7
-8
14
17
NecaxaNecaxa
15
2
4
9
-12
10
18
FC JuarezFC Juarez
15
2
2
11
-22
8