Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 3d 10h
La Liga (Spain)
·
Levante
Levante
17th · 7 pts·DWDLL
vs
—
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
9th · 9 pts·LWWDD
The story

Levante host Athletic Club with both sides seeking momentum

Levante and Athletic Club meet at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia separated by just two points as both sides look to stabilise their early-season form.

Match news & current form

Levante sit 13th with five points after five games. Luís Castro’s side have experienced a mixed start, most recently falling to a 2-4 home defeat against Barcelona. Despite that loss, they have been formidable at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, winning nine of their last ten matches on home soil across all competitions.

Athletic Club occupy 9th place with seven points from their opening five fixtures. Now under the management of Edin Terzic, the visitors are looking to bounce back from a 1-1 draw against Elche. While their home form has been strong, they have struggled on the road, losing four of their previous five away matches.

Head-to-head history

Athletic Club have historically dominated this fixture with 17 La Liga wins compared to Levante's five. Recent encounters follow this trend; the Basque side won the last meeting 4-2 in February 2026 and secured a 2-0 victory during their last trip to this stadium in November 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Levante have won nine of their last ten home matches at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.
  • Athletic Club have lost four of their last five away fixtures in the league.
  • Levante are without a home win against Athletic Club in their last two attempts.
  • The last meeting between these two sides produced six goals in a 4-2 win for Athletic.
Key players & missing men

Athletic Club face a significant selection crisis with key personnel missing, including defensive mainstay Dani Vivian and influential forwards Inaki Williams and Gorka Guruzeta. Unai Egiluz and Peio Canales are also sidelined. Levante will be without K. Etta Eyong and A. Primo for this midweek clash.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Levante vs Athletic Club and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Levante2.3
–
2.0Athletic Club
Season average total: 4.25 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Levante winDrawAthletic Club win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Athletic Club
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Levante
1639
Athletic Club
1678

Athletic Club are the stronger side — 39 rating points clear of Levante.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

LevanteLevante
Goals scored
1.50
Expected (xG)
1.67
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
Goals scored
1.00
Expected (xG)
1.70
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

LevanteLevanteAthletic ClubAthletic Club
1.33Goals scored / game1.17
2.00Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Levante 6 games, Athletic Club 6 games.

LevanteLevanteAthletic ClubAthletic Club
33%Games with a clean sheet50%
50%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Athletic Club
4–2
Levante
Levante
0–2
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
3–1
Levante
Levante
0–0
Athletic Club
Levante
1–2
Athletic Club
Form check

Their recent form.

Levante
Levante
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
VillarrealvLevante
3–1
L
LevantevBarcelona
2–4
L
MalagavLevante
0–0
D
LevantevReal Betis
5–2
W
OsasunavLevante
0–0
D
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Athletic ClubvAlaves
0–0
D
Athletic ClubvElche
1–1
D
Athletic ClubvAtletico Madrid
3–0
W
Celta VigovAthletic Club
0–2
W
BarcelonavAthletic Club
2–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
BarcelonaBarcelona
9
9
0
0
+30
27
2
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
9
7
1
1
+11
22
3
Real BetisReal Betis
9
6
1
2
+2
19
4
Real MadridReal Madrid
8
6
0
2
+11
18
5
SevillaSevilla
8
4
2
2
+1
14
6
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
8
4
1
3
-3
13
7
AlavesAlaves
8
3
2
3
+4
11
8
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna
9
2
5
2
+1
11
9
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
7
2
3
2
+1
9
10
VillarrealVillarreal
9
2
3
4
+0
9
11
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
8
1
5
2
+2
8
12
EspanyolEspanyol
9
2
2
5
-1
8
13
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
7
2
2
3
-5
8
14
GetafeGetafe
8
2
2
4
-6
8
15
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
8
2
2
4
-10
8
16
OsasunaOsasuna
8
2
2
4
-10
8
17
LevanteLevante
8
1
4
3
-4
7
18
ElcheElche
9
1
4
4
-6
7
19
ValenciaValencia
9
1
3
5
-9
6
20
MalagaMalaga
8
0
4
4
-9
4