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Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
6th · 32 pts·DLWWL
vs
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
5th · 33 pts·WLWWW
The story

Lillestrom chase Europe as Rosenborg face Lerkendal test

Lillestrom travel to Trondheim looking to cement their continental qualification spot while Rosenborg attempt to bridge a four-point gap to the European places.

Match news & current form

Lillestrom enter this fixture sitting 4th in the Eliteserien, occupying a crucial continental place with 15 games remaining. Despite a heavy 0-4 defeat to league leaders Bodo/Glimt last time out, their broader form remains strong with four wins from their last six league outings. They have proven to be one of the league's most dangerous travellers, frequently winning away fixtures by two or more goals.

Rosenborg currently languish in 10th, though they remain within striking distance of the top five. Their recent momentum has been positive with three wins in their last five, including a 4-0 thrashing of Fredrikstad and a 3-0 victory over Start. However, a 2-3 loss to Brann in their previous fixture highlighted a 'relegation-form' defence that continues to undermine their attacking efforts.

Head-to-head history

Recent encounters suggest a shift in power at Lerkendal Stadion, where Rosenborg have lost two of their last four home games against Lillestrom. The last three meetings between these two Norwegian giants have been perfectly balanced, with one win apiece and one draw.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Lillestrom have remained undefeated in 19 of their last 20 away matches.
  • Rosenborg have failed to win 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
  • The hosts are averaging just 2.67 shots on target per home match recently.
  • Lillestrom have kept their defensive record tight in high-stakes away games, conceding only 0.5 goals per game over their last six league fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Lillestrom's defensive stability will be tested without E. B. Garnas, while the creative absence of E. Kitolano and C. Jebara limits their options in midfield. Rosenborg are also missing key components of their spine, with D. Islamovic and S. Nordli both ruled out of this clash.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Lillestrom1.7
1.4Rosenborg
Season average total: 3.05 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Lillestrom winDrawRosenborg win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Rosenborg
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Lillestrom
1363
Rosenborg
1428

Rosenborg are the stronger side — 64 rating points clear of Lillestrom.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

LillestromLillestromRosenborgRosenborg
1.33Goals scored / game1.86
1.38Goals conceded / game1.43
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Lillestrom 21 games, Rosenborg 21 games.

LillestromLillestromRosenborgRosenborg
29%Games with a clean sheet33%
33%Games they failed to score29%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Lillestrom
0–2
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
2–0
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
1–1
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
4–0
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
3–0
Rosenborg
Form check

Their recent form.

Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
VikingvLillestrom
3–0
L
LillestromvValerenga
2–0
W
BrannvLillestrom
1–2
W
LillestromvFredrikstad
1–4
L
KFUM OslovLillestrom
1–1
D
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
Kristiansund BKvRosenborg
1–3
W
RosenborgvTromso
5–3
W
RosenborgvHam-Kam
4–0
W
Bodo/GlimtvRosenborg
4–2
L
RosenborgvViking
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
21
16
2
3
+34
50
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
21
16
2
3
+34
50
3
TromsoTromso
21
11
5
5
+11
38
4
MoldeMolde
21
11
3
7
+12
36
5
RosenborgRosenborg
21
10
3
8
+9
33
6
LillestromLillestrom
21
10
2
9
-1
32
7
BrannBrann
21
9
2
10
+7
29
8
FredrikstadFredrikstad
21
8
4
9
-7
28
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
21
6
7
8
-5
25
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
21
7
4
10
-10
25
11
SandefjordSandefjord
21
6
5
10
-6
23
12
ValerengaValerenga
21
6
5
10
-9
23
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
21
6
5
10
-15
23
14
AalesundAalesund
21
4
9
8
-13
21
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
21
5
4
12
-19
19
16
StartStart
21
4
4
13
-22
16