Winlytics.AI
Full time
Premier League (Ukraine)
·
Livyi Bereh
Livyi Bereh
9th · 7 pts
vs
Karpaty
Karpaty
3rd · 14 pts·WDLWD
The story

Karpaty defend top spot against survival-hungry Livyi Bereh

League leaders Karpaty travel to Kyiv looking to cement their title charge while Livyi Bereh fight to pull clear of the drop zone.

Match news & current form

Livyi Bereh enter this fixture sitting 12th in the table, just one point above the relegation zone. They have found a defensive resilience in recent weeks, recording back-to-back draws against Kryvbas KR (1-1) and Kudrivka (0-0), showing they can compete with the league's established sides.

Karpaty are currently in control of the title race, sitting top of the table on nine points. They arrive in Kyiv on a three-match winning streak, having dismantled Bukovyna and LNZ Cherkasy 3-0 before a dominant 4-1 away victory over Kryvbas KR.

Head-to-head history

Recent encounters have favoured the Lviv side, including a 3-0 victory in November 2024 where Yevhen Pidlepenets and Denys Ustymenko provided the second-half breakthrough. However, previous meetings in Kyiv have been tighter affairs, including a high-scoring 3-2 win for Karpaty in May 2025 where Oleksandr Synytsia was on target for the hosts.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Karpaty have scored three or more goals in each of their last three league matches.
  • Livyi Bereh are seeking their first win of the campaign but remain unbeaten in their last two outings.
  • Karpaty's attack has been prolific, recording an 8-0 victory in the Ukraine Cup as recently as August 2025.
  • The home side has successfully held opponents scoreless in 50% of their most recent fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Karpaty’s Yevhen Pidlepenets remains the danger man, having previously broken the deadlock in this fixture. For the hosts, Oleksandr Synytsia has a history of scoring against the Lviv outfit and will be the primary threat on the counter. Both squads report no fresh injury concerns or suspensions, allowing both managers to field their strongest lineups.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Livyi Bereh0.6
1.4Karpaty
Season average total: 2.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Livyi Bereh winDrawKarpaty win
Market call
Winner : Karpaty
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Livyi BerehLivyi BerehKarpatyKarpaty
0.67Goals scored / game2.14
0.50Goals conceded / game0.71
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Livyi Bereh 6 games, Karpaty 7 games.

Livyi BerehLivyi BerehKarpatyKarpaty
50%Games with a clean sheet43%
50%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Livyi Bereh
1–1
Karpaty
Livyi Bereh
2–3
Karpaty
Karpaty
3–0
Livyi Bereh
Karpaty
3–3
Livyi Bereh
Livyi Bereh
0–1
Karpaty
Form check

Their recent form.

Livyi Bereh
Livyi Bereh
Livyi Bereh — recent form not recorded.
Last 5

No recent matches recorded.

Karpaty
Karpaty
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
KarpatyvVeres Rivne
1–1
D
Kolos KovalivkavKarpaty
0–2
W
KarpatyvShakhtar Donetsk
1–2
L
Livyi BerehvKarpaty
1–1
D
KarpatyvBukovyna
3–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Ukraine) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PolessyaPolessya
7
6
0
1
+10
18
2
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
7
6
0
1
+11
18
3
KarpatyKarpaty
7
4
2
1
+10
14
4
Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
6
4
1
1
+4
13
5
FC KharkivFC Kharkiv
6
4
0
2
+8
12
6
Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
7
2
2
3
-1
8
7
LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy
7
2
2
3
-3
8
8
Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk
7
2
2
3
-4
8
9
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
6
1
4
1
+1
7
10
BukovynaBukovyna
7
1
4
2
-2
7
11
Veres RivneVeres Rivne
6
1
3
2
-1
6
12
ChornomoretsChornomorets
6
1
2
3
-4
5
13
Kolos KovalivkaKolos Kovalivka
6
1
2
3
-4
5
14
Kryvbas KRKryvbas KR
6
1
2
3
-3
5
15
Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar
7
0
4
3
-10
4
16
KudrivkaKudrivka
6
0
2
4
-12
2