Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 11h
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Lorient
Lorient
12th · 5 pts·DLWDL
vs
—
Paris FC
Paris FC
3rd · 11 pts·DWWDW
The story

Lorient host unbeaten Paris FC at Stade du Moustoir

Lorient look to kickstart their campaign on home soil as they welcome a high-flying, undefeated Paris FC side.

Match news & current form

Lorient sit 12th in Ligue 1 with 5 points after five matches following a mixed start to the campaign (W1 D2 L2). They enter this clash looking to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat away at Le Mans, having previously drawn 2-2 with Toulouse and edged Lens 1-0 on the road.

Paris FC have made a strong start to the season, sitting 3rd on 11 points after five games. Managed by L. Rosenior, the visitors remain unbeaten (W3 D2 L0) and arrive in Brittany with plenty of momentum after securing a 2-1 home victory over Strasbourg.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these two sides have favoured the home team. Lorient are unbeaten in their last three home fixtures against Paris FC, drawing 1-1 in their most recent encounter in April 2026 after securing 2-0 victories in February 2026 and December 2024. Paris FC's recent successes in the fixture both came on home soil, winning 2-0 in October 2025 and 3-2 in March 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Paris FC are unbeaten in their opening five Ligue 1 matches of the season (W3 D2).
  • Lorient have won two and drawn one of their last three home games against Paris FC.
  • Lorient have kept two clean sheets across their last three home encounters with Paris FC.
Key players & missing men

Lorient are expected to start Swiss goalkeeper Yvon Mvogo between the posts, though they will be without B. Fadiga, P. Katseris, and N. Mbamba through injury. Paris FC, who feature Kevin Trapp in goal, will travel without the sidelined E. Mbemba.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Lorient1.3
–
1.8Paris FC
Season average total: 3.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Lorient winDrawParis FC win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Paris FC
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Lorient
1639
Paris FC
1629

Evenly matched on rating.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

LorientLorient
Goals scored
1.50
Expected (xG)
1.40
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Paris FCParis FC
Goals scored
1.80
Expected (xG)
1.93
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

LorientLorientParis FCParis FC
1.00Goals scored / game1.60
1.20Goals conceded / game0.60
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Lorient 5 games, Paris FC 5 games.

LorientLorientParis FCParis FC
40%Games with a clean sheet60%
20%Games they failed to score40%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Lorient
1–1
Paris FC
Lorient
2–0
Paris FC
Paris FC
2–0
Lorient
Paris FC
3–2
Lorient
Lorient
2–0
Paris FC
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Lorient
B. Fadiga
Doubt · Injury
Lorient
P. Katseris
Doubt · Hamstring Injury
Lorient
N. Mbamba
Doubt · Muscle Injury
Paris FC
E. Mbemba
Doubt · Inactive
Form check

Their recent form.

Lorient
Lorient
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Le MansvLorient
2–1
L
LorientvToulouse
2–2
D
LensvLorient
0–1
W
LorientvEstac Troyes
1–2
L
NicevLorient
0–0
D
Paris FC
Paris FC
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
Paris FCvStrasbourg
2–1
W
Paris FCvLyon
0–0
D
MarseillevParis FC
2–3
W
Paris FCvNice
3–0
W
Estac TroyesvParis FC
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
MonacoMonaco
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
LyonLyon
5
3
2
0
+8
11
3
Paris FCParis FC
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
LilleLille
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
RennesRennes
5
3
1
1
-1
10
6
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
5
2
2
1
+1
8
7
AngersAngers
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
StrasbourgStrasbourg
5
2
1
2
+0
7
9
Le MansLe Mans
5
1
3
1
+0
6
10
AuxerreAuxerre
5
2
0
3
-5
6
11
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
5
1
2
2
-1
5
12
LorientLorient
5
1
2
2
-1
5
13
ToulouseToulouse
5
1
2
2
-2
5
14
NiceNice
5
1
2
2
-3
5
15
LensLens
5
1
1
3
+0
4
16
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
5
1
1
3
-7
4
17
MarseilleMarseille
5
1
0
4
-1
3
18
Le HavreLe Havre
5
0
2
3
-3
2