Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 20h
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Lorient
Lorient
9th · 12 pts·DLWWD
vs
—
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
13th · 9 pts·LLWDL
The story

Lorient host Brest in Brittany derby after eight games

Separated by three points after the opening eight matches, Breton rivals Lorient and Stade Brestois meet at the Stade du Moustoir.

Match news & current form

Lorient sit 9th in Ligue 1 on 12 points after eight games, making a steady start to the campaign. They head into the weekend with momentum, having taken three wins from their last five league outings, including consecutive 1-0 victories on home soil against Monaco and Paris FC.

Stade Brestois 29 sit 13th with 9 points from their first eight matches. Their recent form has been mixed, registering two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five. They responded to losses against Paris Saint-Germain and Auxerre by thrashing Angers 5-1 before securing a 1-1 draw away at Lille.

Head-to-head history

Brest have enjoyed the better of this fixture across recent encounters, winning the most recent league clash 2-0 in February 2026. Lorient's last home meeting with Brest in October 2025 delivered an entertaining 3-3 draw.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Lorient have secured consecutive 1-0 home victories in Ligue 1.
  • Stade Brestois are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Lorient across all competitions.
  • Lorient have won three of their last five league matches.
Key players & missing men

Neither side has reported any fresh absences heading into this fixture, providing both coaching setups with fully fit squads for the derby.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Lorient1.4
–
1.3Stade Brestois 29
Season average total: 2.63 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Lorient winDrawStade Brestois 29 win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Stade Brestois 29
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Lorient
1639
Stade Brestois 29
1621

Evenly matched on rating.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

LorientLorient
Goals scored
1.10
Expected (xG)
1.21
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
Goals scored
1.60
Expected (xG)
2.28
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

LorientLorientStade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
0.88Goals scored / game1.75
0.75Goals conceded / game1.50
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Lorient 8 games, Stade Brestois 29 8 games.

LorientLorientStade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
63%Games with a clean sheet0%
25%Games they failed to score13%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Stade Brestois 29
2–0
Lorient
Lorient
3–3
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
1–1
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
0–1
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
4–0
Lorient
Form check

Their recent form.

Lorient
Lorient
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
AngersvLorient
0–0
D
LorientvMonaco
1–0
W
LorientvParis FC
1–0
W
Le MansvLorient
2–1
L
LorientvToulouse
2–2
D
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Stade Brestois 29vNice
1–2
L
LillevStade Brestois 29
1–1
D
Stade Brestois 29vAngers
5–1
W
AuxerrevStade Brestois 29
2–1
L
Stade Brestois 29vParis Saint Germain
0–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
8
5
2
1
+7
17
2
RennesRennes
8
5
1
2
+4
16
3
LilleLille
8
4
3
1
+5
15
4
MonacoMonaco
8
4
3
1
+4
15
5
LyonLyon
8
4
2
2
+6
14
6
Paris FCParis FC
8
4
2
2
+4
14
7
LensLens
8
4
1
3
+4
13
8
MarseilleMarseille
8
4
0
4
+5
12
9
LorientLorient
8
3
3
2
+1
12
10
NiceNice
8
3
2
3
-2
11
11
ToulouseToulouse
8
2
4
2
+1
10
12
AuxerreAuxerre
8
3
1
4
-6
10
13
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
8
2
3
3
+2
9
14
AngersAngers
8
2
2
4
-6
8
15
Le MansLe Mans
8
1
4
3
-5
7
16
StrasbourgStrasbourg
8
2
1
5
-6
7
17
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
8
1
2
5
-11
5
18
Le HavreLe Havre
8
0
2
6
-7
2