Separated by three points after the opening eight matches, Breton rivals Lorient and Stade Brestois meet at the Stade du Moustoir.
Lorient sit 9th in Ligue 1 on 12 points after eight games, making a steady start to the campaign. They head into the weekend with momentum, having taken three wins from their last five league outings, including consecutive 1-0 victories on home soil against Monaco and Paris FC.
Stade Brestois 29 sit 13th with 9 points from their first eight matches. Their recent form has been mixed, registering two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five. They responded to losses against Paris Saint-Germain and Auxerre by thrashing Angers 5-1 before securing a 1-1 draw away at Lille.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Evenly matched on rating.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Lorient 8 games, Stade Brestois 29 8 games.
Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.