Regional pride is on the line as ninth-placed Lorient look to extend their solid start against thirteenth-placed Stade Brestois.
Lorient sit ninth in Ligue 1 on 12 points after eight games, having made a steady start to the campaign. They played out a 0-0 draw at Angers last time out, stretching their unbeaten run to three matches following back-to-back 1-0 home victories over Monaco and Paris FC.
Stade Brestois 29 find themselves in 13th place on nine points after eight games, having struggled for consistency so far. Les Pirates fell 2-1 at home to Nice in their last outing, meaning they have won only once in their last five league fixtures despite a recent 5-1 home win over Angers.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Evenly matched on rating.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Lorient 8 games, Stade Brestois 29 8 games.
Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.