Lorient aim to break a decade-long hoodoo against a Toulouse side currently languishing in the early relegation zone.
Lorient sit 8th on 4 points, just two points off the continental qualification places after three matches. They enter this fixture with momentum after snapping a rough patch with a narrow 1-0 win over Lens last week, though they previously suffered a 1-2 home defeat to Estac Troyes.
Toulouse find themselves 17th and inside the relegation zone with only 1 point from a possible nine. New manager Jens Berthel Askou is still searching for his first win at the club following a 0-1 loss to Lille and a 0-2 defeat against Lyon in their opening three fixtures.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Evenly matched on rating.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Lorient 5 games, Toulouse 5 games.
Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.