Winlytics.AI
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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
8th · 33 pts·LWLDW
vs
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
4th · 44 pts·DWWWD
The story

Galaxy fight for rhythm as Dallas defend European spot

Los Angeles Galaxy aim to narrow an eight-point gap to the European places while FC Dallas fight to consolidate their top-six standing.

Hot stats & streaks

Los Angeles Galaxy sit 11th on 21 points and have struggled for momentum since the league restart. Greg Vanney’s side followed back-to-back home defeats against St. Louis City and rivals LAFC with a 1-1 draw against San Jose Earthquakes last time out. Despite Vanney’s attacking philosophy, the Galaxy have been plagued by defensive frailties, shipping seven goals in their last three outings.

FC Dallas occupy 6th place with 26 points but are also searching for their first victory since the break. Following a high-scoring 2-2 draw with Portland, they suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat away to San Diego. However, their pre-break form was strong, including consecutive away wins against Colorado Rapids and San Jose, proving they can produce results on the road.

  • Los Angeles Galaxy have managed just two victories in nine home matches at Dignity Health Sports Park this season.
  • Petar Musa is proving a constant threat for Dallas, averaging 4.12 shots per 90 minutes.
  • The Galaxy have conceded two or more goals in two of their last three fixtures since the World Cup break.
  • FC Dallas have secured six points from their last four away league matches.
Key players & missing men

The Galaxy are significantly weakened in the creative department with R. Puig and E. Thommy sidelined, while Joao Klauss also remains out. FC Dallas travel without Geovane Jesus, Daniel, and Ramiro, but will rely on the high shot volume of Petar Musa to test a fragile Galaxy backline.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Los Angeles Galaxy1.4
1.5FC Dallas
Season average total: 2.87 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Los Angeles Galaxy winDrawFC Dallas win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or FC Dallas
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles GalaxyFC DallasFC Dallas
1.26Goals scored / game1.88
1.56Goals conceded / game1.62
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Los Angeles Galaxy 27 games, FC Dallas 26 games.

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles GalaxyFC DallasFC Dallas
15%Games with a clean sheet19%
15%Games they failed to score27%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Los Angeles Galaxy
0–0
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
2–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
2–1
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
2–1
Los Angeles Galaxy
FC Dallas
2–0
Los Angeles Galaxy
Form check

Their recent form.

Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Minnesota United FCvLos Angeles Galaxy
2–3
W
Los Angeles GalaxyvSeattle Sounders
1–1
D
Vancouver WhitecapsvLos Angeles Galaxy
3–0
L
Los Angeles GalaxyvNew England Revolution
2–1
W
San DiegovLos Angeles Galaxy
3–1
L
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
FC DallasvAustin
0–0
D
FC DallasvPortland Timbers
2–1
W
Minnesota United FCvFC Dallas
1–2
W
FC DallasvSporting Kansas City
4–3
W
St. Louis CityvFC Dallas
3–3
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
25
15
4
6
+33
49
2
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
26
13
5
8
+4
44
3
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
26
12
8
6
+9
44
4
FC DallasFC Dallas
26
12
8
6
+7
44
5
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
26
12
6
8
+8
42
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
27
11
8
8
+14
41
7
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
26
11
3
12
+1
36
8
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
27
8
9
10
-8
33
9
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
26
9
5
12
-1
32
10
San DiegoSan Diego
25
8
6
11
+0
30
11
AustinAustin
26
7
9
10
-12
30
12
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
25
8
5
12
-5
29
13
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
24
7
8
9
-5
29
14
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
26
7
8
11
-7
29
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
25
5
3
17
-34
18