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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
8th · 33 pts·LWLDW
vs
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
5th · 42 pts·DDWWD
The story

California Clásico stakes high as San Jose chase continental spot

The 87th regular-season California Clásico sees a high-flying San Jose Earthquakes side looking to cement their continental qualification against a struggling LA Galaxy desperate to break a five-match winless streak.

Match news & current form

San Jose Earthquakes enter this clash sitting 4th on 33 points, currently holding a continental place with 27 points still to play for. Despite a recent wobble including a 1-3 loss to St. Louis City and a heavy 0-4 defeat to Orlando, the Quakes remain one of the most prolific sides in the West, having netted 34 goals this term.

The LA Galaxy are in a period of stagnation, winless in their last five MLS fixtures (D2 L3). Following a 0-1 defeat to Houston Dynamo and a 0-3 derby loss to LAFC, the Galaxy are looking to rediscover the momentum they built before the World Cup break. Midfielder Troy Elgersma provides a rare bright spark, having recently netted his first career MLS goal.

Head-to-head history

This storied rivalry dates back to 1996, with the Galaxy leading the all-time regular-season series 40-29-18. However, the margins in Northern California are razor-thin, with San Jose holding a slight 69-68 edge in goals scored across their home meetings. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-1 draw.

Hot stats & streaks
  • LA Galaxy are unbeaten in their last eight away matches against San Jose, a run stretching back to October 2020.
  • San Jose have failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 consecutive matches, with their last shutout coming in early April.
  • The Earthquakes' 0-4 loss to Orlando recently was the first time they failed to score in 11 matches.
  • LA Galaxy have failed to win any of their last five league games, scoring just two goals in that period.
Key players & missing men

San Jose will look to Preston Judd to rediscover his clinical edge; the forward remains on 11 MLS goals for the season after firing a blank in his last appearance. The Quakes are dealing with a significant defensive blow, however, as DeJuan Jones is ruled out long-term with an Achilles tendon injury. LA Galaxy have no new reported absences.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Los Angeles Galaxy1.2
1.5San Jose Earthquakes
Season average total: 2.77 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Los Angeles Galaxy winDrawSan Jose Earthquakes win
Market call
Double chance : Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
1.26Goals scored / game1.77
1.56Goals conceded / game1.46
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Los Angeles Galaxy 27 games, San Jose Earthquakes 26 games.

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
15%Games with a clean sheet27%
15%Games they failed to score15%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Los Angeles Galaxy
1–0
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1
Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
0–1
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
1–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
Form check

Their recent form.

Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Minnesota United FCvLos Angeles Galaxy
2–3
W
Los Angeles GalaxyvSeattle Sounders
1–1
D
Vancouver WhitecapsvLos Angeles Galaxy
3–0
L
Los Angeles GalaxyvNew England Revolution
2–1
W
San DiegovLos Angeles Galaxy
3–1
L
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
San Jose EarthquakesvLos Angeles FC
2–2
D
San Jose EarthquakesvHouston Dynamo
1–0
W
San DiegovSan Jose Earthquakes
2–3
W
AustinvSan Jose Earthquakes
1–1
D
Houston DynamovSan Jose Earthquakes
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
25
15
4
6
+33
49
2
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
26
13
5
8
+4
44
3
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
26
12
8
6
+9
44
4
FC DallasFC Dallas
26
12
8
6
+7
44
5
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
26
12
6
8
+8
42
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
27
11
8
8
+14
41
7
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
26
11
3
12
+1
36
8
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
27
8
9
10
-8
33
9
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
26
9
5
12
-1
32
10
San DiegoSan Diego
25
8
6
11
+0
30
11
AustinAustin
26
7
9
10
-12
30
12
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
25
8
5
12
-5
29
13
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
24
7
8
9
-5
29
14
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
26
7
8
11
-7
29
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
25
5
3
17
-34
18