Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 1d 14h
La Liga (Spain)
·
Malaga
Malaga
20th · 5 pts·LDLDL
vs
—
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
16th · 11 pts·LDLWL
The story

Winless Malaga host travelling strugglers Racing Santander

Malaga search for their first league victory of the campaign as they welcome a Racing Santander side unable to pick up points on the road.

Match news & current form

With only 11 games played and 27 still to come, the table is merely an early snapshot, but Malaga have endured a slow start. They sit 20th with five points and are the only side in the division still searching for an opening win, having drawn two and lost three of their last five outings. They stopped a two-game skid last time out by grinding out a 1-1 draw away at Alaves, but must now translate parity into maximum points at La Rosaleda.

Racing Santander have also had an uneven start to the season, sitting 16th on 11 points after 11 matches. They snapped a three-game winless slide last weekend with a 2-1 home victory over Espanyol, but their form outside Santander has been dismal, having failed to collect a single point on their travels in the competition.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings have been tightly contested. The last encounter in May 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw at Malaga, preceded by a 3-0 Racing Santander victory in October 2025 and a 2-1 Racing win in February 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Malaga remain the only club in the division without a victory after 11 rounds.
  • Racing Santander have lost every away match played in the league this season.
  • Racing have conceded 14 goals across their last three away trips, including heavy defeats at Barcelona (7-2) and Celta Vigo (5-0).
Key players & missing men

Malaga's primary threat in the final third is striker Adrian Nino, who has scored five of the team's eight league goals this term. Neither side has any reported injury or suspension absences ahead of kickoff.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Malaga vs Racing Santander and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Malaga2.3
–
1.4Racing Santander
Season average total: 3.70 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Malaga winDrawRacing Santander win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Racing Santander
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Malaga
1569
Racing Santander
1582

Evenly matched on rating.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

MalagaMalaga
Goals scored
0.80
Expected (xG)
1.00
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
Goals scored
1.50
Expected (xG)
1.43
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

MalagaMalagaRacing SantanderRacing Santander
0.73Goals scored / game1.36
1.91Goals conceded / game2.64
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Malaga 11 games, Racing Santander 11 games.

MalagaMalagaRacing SantanderRacing Santander
9%Games with a clean sheet0%
36%Games they failed to score36%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Malaga
1–1
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
3–0
Malaga
Racing Santander
2–1
Malaga
Malaga
0–0
Racing Santander
Malaga
0–1
Racing Santander
Form check

Their recent form.

Malaga
Malaga
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
Real BetisvMalaga
2–1
L
AlavesvMalaga
1–1
D
MalagavReal Sociedad
2–5
L
MalagavEspanyol
1–1
D
GetafevMalaga
1–0
L
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Racing SantandervReal Madrid
0–3
L
Racing SantandervEspanyol
2–1
W
OsasunavRacing Santander
2–0
L
Racing SantandervValencia
2–2
D
Celta VigovRacing Santander
5–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
BarcelonaBarcelona
11
10
0
1
+34
30
2
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
11
9
1
1
+14
28
3
Real MadridReal Madrid
11
9
0
2
+18
27
4
Real BetisReal Betis
11
7
2
2
+3
23
5
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
11
6
1
4
+0
19
6
SevillaSevilla
11
5
2
4
-2
17
7
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
10
4
3
3
+4
15
8
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna
11
3
5
3
+1
14
9
VillarrealVillarreal
11
3
3
5
+0
12
10
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
11
2
6
3
+0
12
11
AlavesAlaves
11
3
3
5
-2
12
12
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
10
3
3
4
-5
12
13
GetafeGetafe
11
3
3
5
-8
12
14
EspanyolEspanyol
11
3
2
6
-1
11
15
OsasunaOsasuna
11
3
2
6
-11
11
16
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
11
3
2
6
-14
11
17
ElcheElche
11
2
4
5
-4
10
18
LevanteLevante
11
2
4
5
-5
10
19
ValenciaValencia
11
2
3
6
-9
9
20
MalagaMalaga
11
0
5
6
-13
5