Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine

What our AI model sees

Season averages

1.5

–

1.5

Season average total: 3.00 goals

The market

Public / market price

1X2 probabilities

10%

45%

45%

Malaga winDrawReal Sociedad win

Market call

Double chance : Draw or Real Sociedad

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Malaga

1569

Real Sociedad

1669

Real Sociedad are the stronger side — 101 rating points clear of Malaga.

Goals vs xG

In attackIn defence

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Malaga

Goals scored

0.50

Expected (xG)

0.79

Scoring in line with their xG

Per game · last 8 matches

Real Sociedad

Goals scored

1.60

Expected (xG)

1.32

Scoring in line with their xG

Per game · last 10 matches

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

OverallHome gamesAway games

Both teams across every game this season.

MalagaReal Sociedad

0.50Goals scored / game1.50

1.63Goals conceded / game1.88

How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Malaga 8 games, Real Sociedad 8 games.

MalagaReal Sociedad

13%Games with a clean sheet13%

50%Games they failed to score38%

Their recent form.

Malaga

Mixed bag at home

Last 5

0W · 3D · 2L

MalagavEspanyol

1–1

D

GetafevMalaga

1–0

L

MalagavVillarreal

1–3

L

Celta VigovMalaga

1–1

D

MalagavLevante

0–0

D

Real Sociedad

Winning more than not lately

Last 5

3W · 1D · 1L

ValenciavReal Sociedad

2–3

W

Real SociedadvAtletico Madrid

0–3

L

ElchevReal Sociedad

2–3

W

Real SociedadvCelta Vigo

0–0

D

Real SociedadvEspanyol

2–1

W

Where they sit in the table.

La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#

Team

P

W

D

L

GD

Pts

1

Barcelona

8

8

0

0

+27

24

2

Atletico Madrid

8

6

1

1

+10

19

3

Real Betis

8

6

1

1

+5

19

4

Real Madrid

8

6

0

2

+11

18

5

Sevilla

8

4

2

2

+1

14

6

Real Sociedad

8

4

1

3

-3

13

7

Alaves

8

3

2

3

+4

11

8

Deportivo La Coruna

8

2

4

2

+1

10

9

Celta Vigo

8

1

5

2

+2

8

10

Athletic Club

6

2

2

2

+1

8

11

Villarreal

8

2

2

4

+0

8

12

Espanyol

8

2

2

4

+0

8

13

Rayo Vallecano

7

2

2

3

-5

8

14

Getafe

8

2

2

4

-6

8

15

Racing Santander

8

2

2

4

-10

8

16

Osasuna

8

2

2

4

-10

8

17

Levante

7

1

3

3

-4

6

18

Elche

8

1

3

4

-6

6

19

Valencia

8

1

2

5

-9

5

20

Malaga

8

0

4

4

-9

4