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Full time
Segunda División (Spain)
·
Mallorca
Mallorca
3rd · 13 pts·LWDWW
vs
—
AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC
22nd · 1 pts·LLLLD
The story

Mallorca seek stability as winless Ceuta face relegation pressure

A critical early-season clash sees Mallorca looking to pull clear of the bottom half while AD Ceuta FC battle to escape the relegation zone after a pointless start.

Match news & current form

Luis García’s Mallorca return to the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix looking to bounce back from a 2-0 defeat at Granada. Sitting 12th with three points, the hosts have already shown they can perform at home, having secured a 2-0 victory over Valladolid in their previous outing on home soil. With survival not yet secured even at this early stage, García will be keen to avoid a second consecutive loss.

AD Ceuta FC arrive in Palma sitting bottom of the table in 22nd place. Their start to the campaign has been difficult, following up a heavy 5-1 defeat against FC Andorra with a 2-0 home loss to Las Palmas. Currently three points behind Mallorca, they are desperate to ignite their season and begin the 40-game climb out of the relegation zone.

Head-to-head history

Historical records favor the visitors, with AD Ceuta holding nine victories to Mallorca's four across 17 total meetings. However, the tide often turns when playing in Palma; specifically at their home ground, Mallorca have won four of the eight encounters against Ceuta, while the visitors have managed only two wins in those trips.

Hot stats & streaks
  • AD Ceuta have lost both of their opening league fixtures by a combined score of 7-1.
  • Mallorca have won their only home game of the season so far without conceding.
  • In 16 previous Segunda División meetings between these sides, AD Ceuta hold the upper hand with nine wins to Mallorca's four.
  • Mallorca have a 50% win rate when hosting Ceuta historically.
Key players & missing men

Mallorca enter the tie with a clean bill of health, reporting no major absences. For AD Ceuta, manager selection will be key after the heavy rotation seen in recent weeks; Jordi Escobar and Alejandro Camacho remain the primary threats up front as they search for only their second goal of the campaign. No fresh injuries have been reported for the visitors.

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We have published a signal on Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Mallorca3.0
–
0.3AD Ceuta FC
Season average total: 3.33 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
50%
50%
0%
Mallorca winDrawAD Ceuta FC win
Market call
Winner : Mallorca
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Mallorca
1643
AD Ceuta FC
1455

Mallorca are the stronger side — 188 rating points clear of AD Ceuta FC.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

MallorcaMallorcaAD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
1.33Goals scored / game0.40
0.33Goals conceded / game3.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Mallorca 6 games, AD Ceuta FC 5 games.

MallorcaMallorcaAD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
83%Games with a clean sheet0%
33%Games they failed to score60%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Mallorca
3–0
AD Ceuta FC
Form check

Their recent form.

Mallorca
Mallorca
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Real Sociedad IIvMallorca
0–1
W
MallorcavSabadell
2–0
W
EldensevMallorca
0–0
D
MallorcavAD Ceuta FC
3–0
W
Granada CFvMallorca
2–0
L
AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
AD Ceuta FCvValladolid
1–1
D
BurgosvAD Ceuta FC
3–1
L
AD Ceuta FCvCelta de Vigo II
0–2
L
MallorcavAD Ceuta FC
3–0
L
AD Ceuta FCvLas Palmas
0–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Segunda División (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
CastellónCastellón
6
5
1
0
+10
16
2
EibarEibar
6
5
0
1
+8
15
3
MallorcaMallorca
6
4
1
1
+6
13
4
AlmeriaAlmeria
6
4
0
2
+6
12
5
BurgosBurgos
6
3
2
1
+3
11
6
SabadellSabadell
6
3
2
1
+2
11
7
LeganesLeganes
6
3
2
1
+1
11
8
GironaGirona
6
3
1
2
+4
10
9
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
6
3
1
2
+1
10
10
Las PalmasLas Palmas
6
3
1
2
+0
10
11
TenerifeTenerife
6
3
1
2
-1
10
12
Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
6
2
2
2
+1
8
13
OviedoOviedo
6
2
2
2
+1
8
14
Granada CFGranada CF
6
2
2
2
+0
8
15
Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
6
2
1
3
-3
7
16
CordobaCordoba
6
2
0
4
-4
6
17
EldenseEldense
6
1
2
3
-4
5
18
ValladolidValladolid
6
1
2
3
-5
5
19
CadizCadiz
6
0
3
3
-3
3
20
FC AndorraFC Andorra
6
1
0
5
-4
3
21
AlbaceteAlbacete
6
0
1
5
-6
1
22
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
6
0
1
5
-13
1