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Allsvenskan (Sweden)
·
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
7th · 33 pts·LWDWL
vs
IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg
9th · 32 pts·DWWWW
The story

Swedish Giants Clash as Malmo Chase Europe

Malmo look to bridge the gap to the European places while IFK Goteborg fight to escape the relegation zone in this high-stakes Mesta mastarmotet derby.

Match news & current form

Malmo FF sit 8th in the Allsvenskan, currently level on points with the European qualification spots with 19 games remaining. They entered the summer break on a poor run of three defeats in four matches but successfully restarted their campaign with a narrow 1-0 victory away at Degerfors IF.

IFK Goteborg are languishing in 14th place, occupying a relegation spot as they battle for survival. Manager Stefan Billborn is under pressure to fix a leaky defense that has conceded 10 goals in their last five outings, including a chaotic 5-4 win over Vasteras SK FK followed by a 2-1 loss to AIK Stockholm last time out.

Head-to-head history

While Malmo defeated Goteborg in the Svenska Cupen semi-final last season, Blavitt held the upper hand in the league, taking four points from the hosts without conceding a single goal across those two fixtures. Overall, Malmo has claimed three victories in the last six league meetings between the two sides.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Malmo have scored at least one goal in 17 consecutive Allsvenskan matches.
  • IFK Goteborg have failed to keep a single clean sheet so far this season.
  • Malmo are on a run of 10 consecutive home league games without a clean sheet.
  • Only Orgryte have conceded more league goals than IFK Goteborg this term.
Key players & missing men

Malmo face a significant defensive void as experienced center-back Pontus Jansson has been ruled out for the remainder of the season. They also remain without veteran captain Anders Christiansen. For the visitors, Tobias Heintz and Sebastian Clemmensen carry the attacking threat, with the latter coming off a stunning goal against AIK.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Malmo FF2.4
1.6IFK Goteborg
Season average total: 4.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Malmo FF winDrawIFK Goteborg win
Market call
Double chance : Malmo FF or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Malmo FF
1445
IFK Goteborg
1369

Malmo FF are the stronger side — 76 rating points clear of IFK Goteborg.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Malmo FFMalmo FFIFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
1.68Goals scored / game1.41
1.50Goals conceded / game1.86
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Malmo FF 22 games, IFK Goteborg 22 games.

Malmo FFMalmo FFIFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
32%Games with a clean sheet14%
14%Games they failed to score27%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Malmo FF
4–0
IFK Goteborg
Malmo FF
0–0
IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg
1–0
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
3–2
IFK Goteborg
Malmo FF
2–1
IFK Goteborg
Form check

Their recent form.

Malmo FF
Malmo FF
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Vasteras SK FKvMalmo FF
2–0
L
Malmo FFvOrgryte IS
4–1
W
Malmo FFvAIK Stockholm
0–0
D
SiriusvMalmo FF
0–1
W
Malmo FFvDjurgardens IF
0–3
L
IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
IF BrommapojkarnavIFK Goteborg
0–1
W
IFK GoteborgvHalmstad
2–1
W
Mjallby AIFvIFK Goteborg
1–4
W
IFK GoteborgvOrgryte IS
1–0
W
IFK GoteborgvIF Elfsborg
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Allsvenskan (Sweden) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
SiriusSirius
22
16
3
3
+24
51
2
Hammarby FFHammarby FF
22
13
4
5
+29
43
3
Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF
22
13
2
7
+26
41
4
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
22
10
7
5
+9
37
5
BK HackenBK Hacken
22
9
9
4
+9
36
6
Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
22
10
5
7
-1
35
7
Malmo FFMalmo FF
22
10
3
9
+4
33
8
AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm
22
9
6
7
-3
33
9
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
22
9
5
8
-10
32
10
GaisGais
22
8
6
8
+8
30
11
IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna
22
7
6
9
-6
27
12
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
22
5
7
10
-11
22
13
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
22
5
4
13
-15
19
14
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
22
5
4
13
-15
19
15
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
22
3
6
13
-24
15
16
HalmstadHalmstad
22
3
5
14
-24
14