Malmo look to bridge the gap to the European places while IFK Goteborg fight to escape the relegation zone in this high-stakes Mesta mastarmotet derby.
Malmo FF sit 8th in the Allsvenskan, currently level on points with the European qualification spots with 19 games remaining. They entered the summer break on a poor run of three defeats in four matches but successfully restarted their campaign with a narrow 1-0 victory away at Degerfors IF.
IFK Goteborg are languishing in 14th place, occupying a relegation spot as they battle for survival. Manager Stefan Billborn is under pressure to fix a leaky defense that has conceded 10 goals in their last five outings, including a chaotic 5-4 win over Vasteras SK FK followed by a 2-1 loss to AIK Stockholm last time out.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Malmo FF are the stronger side — 76 rating points clear of IFK Goteborg.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Malmo FF 22 games, IFK Goteborg 22 games.
Allsvenskan (Sweden) standings · both teams highlighted in context.