Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine

What our AI model sees

Season averages

2.7

–

1.5

Season average total: 4.17 goals

The market

Public / market price

1X2 probabilities

50%

50%

0%

Manchester City winDrawIpswich win

Market call

Winner : Manchester City

Goals forecast

Over 1.5 goals

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Manchester City

1971

Ipswich

1640

Manchester City are the stronger side — 331 rating points clear of Ipswich.

Goals vs xG

In attackIn defence

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Manchester City

Goals scored

2.40

Expected (xG)

2.16

Scoring in line with their xG

Per game · last 10 matches

Ipswich

Goals scored

1.50

Expected (xG)

1.40

Scoring in line with their xG

Per game · last 6 matches

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

OverallHome gamesAway games

Both teams across every game this season.

Manchester CityIpswich

2.67Goals scored / game1.50

0.83Goals conceded / game2.00

How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Manchester City 6 games, Ipswich 6 games.

Manchester CityIpswich

50%Games with a clean sheet0%

0%Games they failed to score33%

Past meetings.

Their recent form.

Manchester City

On a strong winning run

Last 5

5W · 0D · 0L

LiverpoolvManchester City

0–3

W

Manchester CityvSunderland

5–3

W

Manchester UnitedvManchester City

0–1

W

Manchester CityvCoventry

1–0

W

Crystal PalacevManchester City

1–4

W

Ipswich

Struggling for results

Last 5

2W · 0D · 3L

IpswichvFulham

2–1

W

EvertonvIpswich

1–0

L

Crystal PalacevIpswich

2–3

W

IpswichvLiverpool

0–2

L

Manchester UnitedvIpswich

5–2

L

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#

Team

P

W

D

L

GD

Pts

1

Manchester City

6

6

0

0

+11

18

2

Arsenal

6

5

0

1

+5

15

3

Brighton

6

4

1

1

+13

13

4

Brentford

6

2

4

0

+6

10

5

Everton

6

2

4

0

+3

10

6

Chelsea

6

3

1

2

+2

10

7

Leeds

6

2

3

1

+3

9

8

Hull City

6

2

3

1

+2

9

9

Liverpool

6

2

3

1

+0

9

10

Ipswich

6

3

0

3

-3

9

11

Newcastle

6

2

2

2

-3

8

12

Crystal Palace

6

2

1

3

-3

7

13

Manchester United

6

1

3

2

+0

6

14

Coventry

6

2

0

4

-6

6

15

Nottingham Forest

6

1

2

3

-3

5

16

Aston Villa

6

1

2

3

-5

5

17

Sunderland

6

1

1

4

-6

4

18

Bournemouth

6

0

3

3

-6

3

19

Tottenham

6

0

3

3

-6

3

20

Fulham

6

0

2

4

-4

2